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                                   Source: The Unexpected                45

                 The  first  thing  is  to  ensure  that  the  unexpected  is  being  seen;
              indeed, that it clamors for attention. It must be properly featured in
              the information management obtains and studies. (How to do this is
              described in some detail in Chapter 13.)
                 Managements  must  look  at  every  unexpected  success  with  the
              questions: (1) What would it mean to us if we exploited it? (2) Where
              could it lead us? (3) What would we have to do to convert it into an
              opportunity? And (4) How do we go about it? This means, first, that
              managements  need  to  set  aside  specific  time  in  which  to  discuss
              unexpected successes; and second, that someone should always be
              designated  to  analyze  an  unexpected  success  and  to  think  through
              how it could be exploited.

                 But management also needs to learn what the unexpected success
              demands of them. Again, this might best be explained by an example.
                 A  major  university  on  the  eastern  seaboard  of  the  United  States
              started, in the early 1950s, an evening program of “continuing educa-
              tion” for adults; in which the normal undergraduate curriculum leading
              to an undergraduate degree was offered to adults with a high school
              diploma.
                 Nobody on the faculty really believed in the program. The only
              reason it was offered at all was that a small number of returning
              World War II veterans had been forced to go to work before obtain-
              ing their undergraduate degrees and were clamoring for an oppor-
              tunity to get the credits they still lacked. To everybody’s surprise,
              however, the program proved immensely successful, with qualified
              students applying in large numbers. And the students in the pro-
              gram  actually  outperformed  the  regular  undergraduates.  This,  in
              turn,  created  a  dilemma.  To  exploit  the  unexpected  success,  the
              university would have had to build a fairly big first-rate faculty.
              But  this  would  have  weakened  its  main  program;  at  the  least,  it
              would have diverted the university from what it saw as its main
              mission,  the  training  of  undergraduates.  The  alternative  was  to
              close down the new program. Either decision would have been a
              responsible  one.  Instead,  the  university  decided  to  staff  the  pro-
              gram  with  cheap,  temporary  faculty,  mostly  teaching  assistants
              working on their own advanced degrees. As a result, it destroyed
              the program within a few years; but worse, it also seriously dam-
              aged its own reputation.
                 The unexpected success is an opportunity, but it makes demands. It
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