Page 13 - Marlborough Chamber Voice Magazine Autumn 2023
P. 13

Q U A R T E R L Y   E C O N O M I C S




      ECONOMIC INSIGHT TO THE MARLBOROUGH
      REGION



      Infometrics Quarterly Economic Monitor - December 2022


      The Marlborough economy continues to grow                The number of Jobseeker Support recipients
      but is being constrained on several fronts.              has been trending downwards and was sitting
      Infometrics provisionally estimates that the             at 1,179 in the December 2022 quarter – down
      Marlborough economy grew by 1.2% over the                from a peak of nearly 1,500 in September 2020
      year to December 2022, somewhat lower than
      the national growth rate of 2.8%.                        Marlborough’s housing market is cooling, but
                                                               not as fast as the national average, with the
      The agricultural sector has detracted from               average house value in Marlborough sitting at
      growth in the local economy with on-farm costs           about $725,000 in the December 2022 quarter,
      rising at the highest rate on record and incomes         down from a peak of $759,000 in the March
      under pressure. The tourism sector has not               2022 quarter. The number of house sales was
      enjoyed the same bump as in other parts of the           down by nearly a quarter.
      country as international tourists return. Tourism
      expenditure in Marlborough showed zero                   The fall in car registrations (-17%) and
      growth over the year to December 2022, which             commercial vehicles (-3.1%) suggests that both
      is a decline in real terms once we have                  consumers and businesses are cautious about
      accounted for inflation which is running at              the future as the New Zealand economy heads
      7.2%. Guest nights were up slightly by 1.3%, well        towards recession.
      below the national growth of 22.4%.


      Marlborough’s slowing
      economic growth is
      reflected in consumer
      spending growth of only
      5.6%, below the rate of
      inflation, and well below
       national consumer
      spending growth of 10%.


      Despite the economic
      headwinds,
      Marlborough’s labour
      market is still very strong.
      Employment of residents
      increased by 1.0% over
      the year to December
      2022 and the
      unemployment rate is
      sitting at a very low 2.5%,
      well below the national
      rate of 3.3%.




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