Page 69 - Design Considerations Based on Quantitative Risk Assessments for Slopes
P. 69

Case Studies




               Federal Route FT185




               ▪      Frequency of Failure for both FT59 and FT185 based on


                      JKR Incident Proformas (IP)




                          Overall Frequency for Up-Slopes
                                                                                           Overall Frequency for Down-Slopes
                 4.0E-03                                                          7.0E-03
                            y = 0.0005x + 0.0005                                  6.0E-03    y = 0.0011x - 0.0004
                 3.5E-03
              Frequency of Failure (per annum)  2.5E-03                         Frequency of Failure (per annum)  4.0E-03
                                R² = 0.6859
                                                                                                R² = 0.6278
                 3.0E-03
                                                                                  5.0E-03
                 2.0E-03
                                                                                  3.0E-03
                 1.5E-03
                                                                                  2.0E-03
                 1.0E-03
                 5.0E-04
                                                                                  1.0E-03
                0.0E+00
                        1          2          3          4           5           0.0E+00
                                                                                         1           2          3          4           5
                                        Hazard Category                                                   Hazard Category


          Note: Correlation factor should improve with more federal routes being analyzed and

          included in the correlation.  Those hazard category with 0 failures should not be included.
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