Page 33 - Mumme Booklet
P. 33

DRAFT





              FOCUS ON THE LONG TERM
              . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

              While short-term volatility can shake investors’ nerves, annual returns of stocks have been
              positive 73% of the time.

              Taking a longer view, stock market returns over rolling five-year periods have been positive
              87% of the time.


              While holding stocks over the long-term cannot guarantee the elimination of losses,
              over fifteen-year rolling periods stocks have not had a period of negative returns.




              RISK OF STOCK MARKET DECLINE OVER TIME
              1926-2019

                           60%
                                                              One-year returns
                           40%
              73%          20%

              of the time   0%
              is positive*  -20%
                           -40%
                           -60%
                               1926  1929  1932  1935  1938  1941  1944  1947  1950  1953  1956  1959  1962  1965  1968  1971  1974  1977  1980  1983  1986  1989  1992  1995  1998  2001  2004  2007  2010  2013  2016  2019


                           60%
                           50%                            Five-year annualized returns
              87%          40%
              of the time   30%
                           20%
              is positive*  10%
                            0%
                           -10%
                           -20%
                               1926  1929  1932  1935  1938  1941  1944  1947  1950  1953  1956  1959  1932  1965  1968  1971  1974  1977  1980  1983  1986  1989  1992  1995  1998  2001  2004  2007  2010  2013  2016  2019


                           60%
                                                            15-year annualized returns
                           50%
              100%         40%
              of the time   30%
              is positive*  20%
                           10%
                           0%
                              1926  1929  1932  1935  1938  1941  1944  1947  1950  1953  1956  1959  1962  1965  1968  1971  1974  1977  1980  1983  1986  1989  1992  1995  1998  2001  2004  2007  2010  2013  2016  2019

              The chart is for illustrative purposes only and not intended as a recommendation. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. All
              investments carry risk including potential loss of principal and no investment strategy can guarantee a profit or completely protect against
              loss. Indexes are unmanaged and cannot be invested in directly.
              *Source: 2020 Morningstar Direct. Stocks are represented by the IA SBBI US Large Stock TR Index. All returns are from 1926 to 2019.


               . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
                      This plan is not complete without the Assumptions and Disclosures pages appearing at the end.
                3170326-1-4                               January 29, 2021                            Page 33 of 108
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