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The 8th WCBM Junior Academic Competition, November 7th, 2020



                Economic Analysis of CCD and Proposal for a Probiotic Remedy




                                                                 a
                                        Andrew Jun-Hyeon Cho *, Jaejun Noh      b
                                 a Hankuk Academy of Foreign Studies, Republic of Korea
                                 b Hankuk Academy of Foreign Studies, Republic of Korea
                                  andrew.junh.cho@gmail.com / nasanjj2010@gmail.com




                                                           Abstract
               Honey bees(Apis mellifera) are the keystone species in many ecosystems, including the agricultural fields. They
               are the primary pollinators of major crops, suggesting that they make significant contributions to the agricultural
               economy. However, CCD(Colony Collapse Disorder) is causing a decline in the global honey bee population. The
               study  was  thus  conducted  to  evaluate  the  economic  value  of  honey  bee  pollination  and  loss  due  to  CCD.
               Employing Morse and Calderone’s method, the economic contribution of honey bees to the U.S agriculture was
               evaluated. Honey bees were identified to contribute 13,500 million USD each year, 52% of the total yield of major
               insect-pollinated crops. Once including the direct apicultural profits from products such as honey and beeswax, it
               can  be  concluded  that  honey  bees  are  one  of  the  most  significant  contributors  to  the  economy.  However,
               CCD(Colony Collapse Disorder) is causing a decline in the global honey bee population. Through data analysis,
               it was shown how 40.5% of colonies suffer from CCD per annum. Using the honey bee population data and the
               calculated value of honey bee pollination, the economic loss due to CCD was identified. If CCD trends of the past
               4 years(2016-2019) persists, it is calculated that there will be at least 5500 million USD. Honeybees store nectar
               in the crop (social stomach) and share it with nestmates. This behavior seems to increase the risk of infections by
               colony members sharing contaminated nectar, which could harm the entire colony’s health and lead to CCD. This
               research also aimed to determine the role of crop normal flora in protecting the crop from infections and its
               potential as a CCD treatment. 17 bacterial strains were identified in the crop of honey bees. 6 strains showed
               growth independent to honey. The supernatants of these 6 strains effectively repressed the growth of other crop
               bacteria and E. coli and did not alter honey sugar content as much as the others. Honey bee groups fed with the
               selected strains and their byproducts showed increased longevity, confirming the hypothesis that the symbiotic
               bacteria of the honey bees’ social stomach help maintain the bees’ health. 16s rRNA sequencing showed that the
               strains  are  E.  avium,  which  was  identified  once  to  synthesize  antibiotic  bacteriocin  in  honeybee  larvae.  By
               evaluating the effectiveness of the E. avium treatment, the economic gain of employing it to the U.S honey bee
               population was calculated. Once put into effect, the E. avium treatment would contribute a 5600 million USD
               increase in agricultural production. The results were thus able to clearly show the devastating economic impact
               of CCD while also proposing an adequate remedy.

               Keywords: Honey bee, CCD, Economy, Agriculture, Probiotics








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