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Another measure shown in Table 1 is
                 the drop in linepack over a three-hour
                 time period, which can be considered
                 as the release of stored energy.
                   Figure 2 presents the hourly linepack
                 timeseries of the NTS, GDN and
                 combined series. This shows a clear
                 seasonality for the variation in GDN
                 linepack with lower amounts of within-
                 day flexibility needed in the summer in
                 comparison to the winter.
                   This seasonality is due to the much
                 greater within-day changes in gas

                 A gas grid that transports
                 drop-in replacements for
                 fossil natural gas such as bio-
                 synthetic natural gas could
                 potentially continue to use
                 linepack and linepack flexibility
                 in a similar manner to today,
                 even though overall gas demand
                 is expected to decline           Within-day linepack flexibility    equivalent to just over 50 per cent of
                                                  quartile values                  the average linepack at 662GWh.
                 demand during the heating season,   The quartile values of within-day   The values in Table 2 show that GDNs
                 driven primarily by demand for space   linepack flexibility are shown in   provided at least 183GWh of within-day
                 heating and hot water.           Table 2. In addition to the maximum,   linepack flexibility (useable gas storage)
                   Larger within-day swings in demand   minimum and quartile values for the   for 75 per cent of the days over the
                 require greater within-day flexibility   entire dataset, the within-day linepack   heating season, and at least 243GWh for
                 to accommodate these, which can be   flexibility values are shown for the   2 per cent of the days.
                 supported by linepack flexibility as well as   October to March heating season.   The related values for within-day
                 flexing gas supplies throughout the day.  This gives an indication of linepack   flexibility from pumped storage are at
                   The four pumped storage schemes in   flexibility when gas demand is higher.  least 10GWh for 75 per cent of the days
                 Britain have a total capacity of nearly   Of particular note is the level of   over the heating season, and at least
                 28GWh and use part of this capacity to   within-day flexibility of the GDNs in   12GWh for 25 per cent of the days.
                 balance electrical supply and demand   absolute terms and in percentage   The initial analysis has yielded a
                 over a day.                      terms of the average level of the   number of findings:
                   The highest three-hour reduction    linepack itself. The maximum within-  Firstly, the timing of variations to NTS
                 was -7.9GWh.                     day linepack flexibility was 337GWh,   linepack and GDN linepack are highly

                 TABLE 2 MAXIMUM, MINIMUM AND QUARTILE VALUES FOR WITHIN-DAY LINEPACK FLEXIBILITY FOR ALL MONTHS, AND THE OCTOBER TO MARCH HEATING SEASON. ALL VALUES ARE MEASURED IN GWH
































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        UKERCLinepackPaper.indd   3                                                                               18/07/2019   15:08
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