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mistakes made elsewhere, and adopting ideas that are proving successful at slowing the
rate of infection.

Many jurisdictions are implementing some or all of these measures to help flatten the
curve:

• Quarantining
• Encouraging social distancing

• Encouraging working from home
• Closing schools and other institutions
• Placing hard limits on the size of crowds at events

The following chart explains why this last measure is critical to limiting the spread of the
virus.

In scenario B above, which assumes just 20,000 active cases of COVID-19 in the U.S., there’s
nearly a 50% chance an infected person will be attending a 10,000 person conference or

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