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A28    SCIENCE
                  Thursday 8 March 2018
            Science Says: Arctic not so chill this record warm winter




            By SETH BORENSTEIN
            WASHINGTON  (AP)  —  Win-
            ter at the top of the world
            wimped out this year.
            The  Arctic  just  finished  its
            warmest  winter  on  record.
            And sea ice hit record lows
            for  this  time  of  year,  with
            plenty of open water where
            ocean     water    normally
            freezes  into  thick  sheets  of
            ice, new U.S. weather data
            show.
            Scientists  say  what's  hap-
            pening  is  unprecedented,
            part  of  a  global  warming-
            driven  vicious  cycle  that
            likely plays a role in strong,
            icy  storms  in  Europe  and
            the U.S. Northeast.
            "It's  just  crazy,  crazy  stuff,"
            said  Mark  Serreze,  director
            of  the  National  Snow  and
            Ice Data Center in Boulder,
            Colorado,  who  has  been
            studying  the  Arctic  since
            1982.  "These  heat  waves,
            I've  never  seen  anything
            like  this."  It's  been  so  un-   In this March 2, 2018, file photo, palm trees are dusted in snow after a snowfall in front of Milan's Gothic Cathedral, Italy.
            usually warm that the land                                                                                                      Associated Press
            weather  station  closest  to
            the  North  Pole  —  at  the  above  normal  for  the  win-  square  kilometers)  smaller  Sea,  said  data  center  se-  especially in winter.
            tip  of  Greenland  —  spent  ter, according to data from  than last year's record low,  nior scientist Walt Meier. To  The  theory  is  still  debated
            more than 60 hours above  climatologist Brian Brettsch-   the  ice  data  center  said  be happening on opposite  but gaining acceptance. It
            freezing in February. Before  neider  of  the  International  Tuesday.  The  difference  is  sides  of  the  Arctic  at  the  suggests that reduced sea
            this year, scientists had seen  Arctic  Research  Center  at  an  area  about  the  size  of  same time is unusual, Meier  ice, especially in the winter,
            the  temperature  there  rise  the University of Alaska Fair-  the  state  of  Georgia.  Sea  said.                 reduces  the  difference  in
            above freezing in February  banks.                        ice  coverage  in  February  While some natural weath-    atmospheric  pressure  be-
            only twice before, and only  Meteorologists    consider  also  was  521,000  square  er fronts were involved, "cli-  tween the Arctic and mid-
            ever so briefly. Last month's  December,  January  and  miles (1.4 million square kilo-  mate  change  is  the  over-  latitudes,  weakening  the
            record-hot    temperatures  February to be winter, and  meters)  below  the  30-year  riding  thing,"  Meier  said.  jet  stream.  The  jet  stream
            at Cape Morris Jesup have  Arctic weather stations av-    normal  —  an  area  nearly  "When  you  have  warmer  is  the  usually  fast-moving
            been  more  like  those  in  eraged 8.8 degrees (4.9 de-  twice the size of Texas.     temperatures  you  are  go-  west-east current of air that
            May,  said  Ruth  Mottram,  grees Celsius) warmer than  Sea ice is frozen ocean wa-    ing to melt more ice and it's  affects  daily  weather  and
            a  climate  scientist  at  the  normal for the season that  ter that — in contrast to ice-  going to grow more slowly."  moves  storm  fronts  along.
            Danish  Meteorological  In-  just  ended.  The  air  above  bergs and glaciers — forms,  In the winter, sea ice "acts  A  weaker  jet  stream  often
            stitute.                     the  Chukchi  and  Bering  grows  and  melts  on  the  as a lid to keep the warmth  means  strange  weather,
            But it's more than that one  seas near Alaska averaged  ocean. It is still growing, but  of  the  water  at  bay"  but  leaving  storms  stuck  in
            place.  Across  the  Arctic  about  20  degrees  (11  de-  "whatever we grow now is  when  there  is  less  sea  ice,  place for days on end, said
            Circle  in  Barrow,  Alaska,  grees Celsius) warmer than  going to be thin stuff" that  more heat goes into the air,  one  of  the  theory's  lead-
            February  was  18  degrees  normal  for  February,  the  easily melts in the summer,  Brettschneider  said.  "You  ing  proponents,  Rutgers
            (10 degrees Celsius) warm-   data center reported.        Serreze said.                end up with a vicious cycle  University's Jennifer Francis.
            er than normal and the en-   "The  extended  warmth  re-  Near  Greenland,  warm  of warm air preventing sea  She  points  to  recent  U.S.
            tire winter averaged 14 de-  ally  has  kind  of  staggered  air moved north up over a  ice  formation  and  lack  of  nor'easters and freak snow-
            grees (7.8 degrees Celsius)  all of us," Mottram said.    section of the Atlantic that  sea ice allowing warmth to  storms in Europe.
            above  normal.  Of  nearly  In  February,  Arctic  sea  ice  usually  has  sea  ice,  Mot-  escape into the air."   "This  is  what  we've  been
            three  dozen  different  Arc-  covered  5.4  million  square  tram  said.  Something  simi-  One scientific theory is that  talking about; it couldn't be
            tic  weather  stations,  15  of  miles  (13.9  million  square  lar  was  happening  in  the  this  is  changing  weather  more  classic,"  Francis  said.
            them  were  at  least  10  de-  kilometers),  about  62,000  Pacific with open water on  further  south  and  plays  a  "If  you  look  at  the  whole
            grees (5.6 degrees Celsius)  square    miles    (160,000  the normally iced up Bering  role  with  extreme  events,  picture,  the  whole  jet
                                                                                                                                stream around the northern
                                                                                                                                hemisphere,  it's  had  these
                                                                                                                                very large excursions north
                                                                                                                                and south and that's led to
                                                                                                                                all of the wacky weather."
                                                                                                                                "The  underlying  disease
                                                                                                                                that's causing this is getting
                                                                                                                                worse,"  Francis  said,  refer-
                                                                                                                                ring to heat-trapping gases
                                                                                                                                from the burning of coal, oil
                                                                                                                                and gas. "These are just the
                                                                                                                                symptoms." q
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