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THE DAILY HER2A3LD
ECONOMIST ARJEN ALBERTS REPORTS: 1A2WEMFaeibnrutarDy6ia,h20u1e6bs, 03 Maart 2016
                                                                               WEEKENDER

OUR TOURISM DEVELOPMENT DOES NOT LEAD TO HIGHER PRODUCTIVITY

                               known as “Small Island         Alberts argues.                                            in tourism demand              varied,    specialised)
                                                                                                                         need to be sought out
                               Tourism         Economies”     Although Aruba and Sint                                    and catered to more            hospitality formulas.”
                               (SITEs) that are prevalent     Maarten were both affected                                  effectively.”
                               throughout the Caribbean       by global crises like 9/11                                                                ALBERTS IS mildly
                               and the world. Within this     and the 2008 financial                                                                     optimistic about the
                               group of SITEs, however,       breakdown, the heavy                                       A CHOICE FOR quality           chances of reaching
                                                              reliance on tourism did not                                over quantity cannot
                               both Dutch islands are         make the impact of these                                   be realized overnight,         a more sustainable
                               at the top of the ranking      occurrences more dramatic                                                                 development formula
                               in terms of intensity of       than in other countries of                                 according to Alberts.          for Aruba and Sint
                                                              the same scale.                                            It will take a new class
                               tourism development.                                                                      of investor: “One that         Maarten, pointing also at
                                                                                                                                                        the need for an effective
                               Looking at a combination                                                                  brings a technologically       role for government:
                               of tourist numbers in                                                                     more     advanced
                               relation to its population,    AS THE AUTHOR points                                       ‘production process’           “Achievement of these
                               tourism dollars received                                                                                                 objectives will take
Arjen Alberts                  per resident and room          out, it is not the one-                                    indicated, for instance,       strategic efforts in
                               numbers per square             sided focus on tourism                                     by higher levels of
                               kilometre, Sint Maarten        that makes the islands’                                    value added per room           close      public-private
Out of the six Caribbean       and Aruba are consistently                                                                                               cooperation, affecting
                               in the global top-three.       development      model                                     and per employee. is
islands that are part          Even within the worldwide      vulnerable, but rather the    natural resources as well.   should be feasible in itself;  all factors of production
                               group of islands specialized                                 Obviously, ever increasing
of the Dutch Kingdom,          in tourism, both islands       choice for quantity over      volume is not a sustainable  both islands constitute        and the institutional
                               have taken development to                                    strategy for small islands.
Aruba and Sint Maarten         the extreme.                   quality.                                                   known and proven markets       framework in which they
                                                                                               erefore, a new emphasis
in particular chose a high                                                                  is needed.                   and investment locations.”     operate.”
                                                                                            “Within the tourism sector,
intensity tourism-driven                                         e development so far       new niches with higher
                                                              has entailed continued        value added need to be
development         path,                                     immigration in large          sought out, while the bulk   Another  important             Immigration-dependent
                                                              numbers, rapidly increasing   of the current hospitality                                  extensive growth in small
starting several decades                                      the population density on     industry needs to shrink     condition for a higher         island tourism economies:
                                                              the islands. e continuous     in quantity and grow in                                     the cases of Aruba and
ago. An analysis of this                                      development of more           quality. Premium trends      value-added development        Sint Maarten is available
                                                              tourism resorts fills the                                                                  via http://online.
socio-economic model is                                       islands and their coastlines                               is a better qualified           liverpooluniversitypress.
                                                              very fast, straining the                                                                  co.uk/loi/idpr/38/1
the topic of a PhD project     WHILE THE economies of                                                                    workforce. “Higher and
                               Sint Maarten and Aruba
by political scientist and     have grown very fast, so                                                                  more effective education
                               have their populations. As
economist Arjen Alberts.       Alberts points out, Sint                                                                  of the existing workforce
                               Maarten turned from an
For the first time, the         exporter of labour to the                                                                 will be necessary to operate
                               refineries of Aruba and
cases of Aruba and Sint        Curaçao, to an immigration                                                                more advanced (luxurious,
                               “node”, receiving vast
Maarten are the subject        numbers of foreign
                               workers to populate the
of an article published        rapidly growing hospitality
                               industry; so much so, that
in a peer-reviewed             population growth actually
                               kept pace with economic
scientific journal.             growth. In other words,
                               on average, economic
The International              productivity did not
        Development            increase.
        Planning Review is
a journal published by the
University of Liverpool,
UK. Alberts’ article
“Immigration-dependent
extensive growth in small
island tourism economies:
the cases of Aruba and Sint
Maarten” appeared in its
January 2016 edition. On
his path to a PhD degree,      “ erefore, as in the
the author will have to        case of Aruba, there is
publish three more articles    a lack of translation of
on the development model       tourism volume growth
shared by Aruba and Sint       into real GDP increase,
Maarten.                       and therefore a lack of
                               productivity growth.” is
Looking at the past 30 to      trend is visible in Aruba
40 years of apparent fast      after the closing of the
development, Alberts           Lago and the subsequent
argues that economic           rapid transition to tourism,
growth in Aruba and Sint       productivity did grow until
Maarten has been mainly        1990, but stayed level since;
extensive, meaning that        while in Sint Maarten,
volume did indeed grow,        productivity did grow as
but productivity per           well during the 1980s, also
person did not; in other       to taper off. Both Aruba
words, more quantity at        and Sint Maarten show no
the same level of quality.     growth in real per capita
“After a period of rising      GDP since the early 1990s.
real per capita GDP
during the initial years …     SURPRISINGLY, THE
of the tourism industry        heavy emphasis on tourism,
in its current form, both      often described as a “one-
countries’ real per capita     pillar economy” does not
GDP levels are no longer       seem to be a bad strategy
increasing, with Aruba         by itself, when we look at
settling at a slightly higher  the experience of other
level than Sint Maarten.”      islands internationally.

THE DEVELOPMENT                Specialisation        and      Stagnation of productivity in Aruba and Sint Maarten
path followed by Sint          dedication to one industry                (vertical: average annual real per capita GDP in dollars of 1996)
Maarten and our sister         may indeed often be the
island Aruba is not            best strategy for small           is graph is the most clear indicator that Aruba as well as Sint Maarten have grown without increasing quality
altogether unique; in fact,    islands. Moreover, tourism     of production. It shows the development of real per capita GDP in Aruba and Sint Maarten since 1980 until the
there is a documented          as a sector is far more        present day. An increase in real per capita GDP would signify a growing productivity, in other words more wealth is
class of island economies      economically “resilient”       created per person on the island. However, as we can see from the development plotted here, no sustained increase in
                               than we often think,           productivity has taken place since the 1990s. Both islands stay at the same level of real production, with Aruba settling
                                                              in somewhat higher than Sint Maarten, until recently.
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