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                                                                                                  business Friday 4 February 2022
             Swing shift: Wall Street's gyrations no cause for surprise




            By STAN CHOE                                                                                                        vate Wealth Management.
            AP Business Writer                                                                                                  "In the end, one of the su-
            NEW YORK (AP) — What a                                                                                              per powers of the individual
            wild  ride. The stock mar-                                                                                          investor is  the ability  to fo-
            ket hasn't been this  crazy                                                                                         cus on the long-term."
            since...a couple years ago.                                                                                         Of course, this bout of vola-
            Yes,  stocks have swerved                                                                                           tility may be different than
            scarily  this year as Wall                                                                                          all the past ones.
            Street comes to grips with a                                                                                        The market has been shaky
            Federal Reserve no longer                                                                                           as investors rush to  get
            doing everything  it can to                                                                                         ahead of moves by the
            prop up markets. The aver-                                                                                          Federal Reserve to shut off
            age day last month saw a                                                                                            the support it's been pour-
            swing twice as wide for the                                                                                         ing into the economy since
            S&P 500, from its low point                                                                                         the pandemic began. The
            to its high, as a year earlier.                                                                                     Fed is likely  to start raising
            In one dizzying day, it ca-                                                                                         short-term interest  rates
            reened from a 4% loss to a                                                                                          in  March, among other
            small gain.                                                                                                         moves that will make bor-
            Perhaps more jarring was                                                                                            rowing money less  easy
            that the S&P 500  flirted re-                                                                                       and leave less money slosh-
            peatedly with a 10% drop                                                                                            ing around the economy.
            from its record set on the first                                                                                    The market has  seen  such
            trading day of the year. It's   Pedestrians walk past the New York Stock Exchange in New York's Financial District, on March 23,   rate-hike campaigns  be-
            a  cold slap  for the millions   2021.  Associated Press                                                            fore, and they've been the
            of people who got their                                                                                             cause of plenty of past 10%
            first taste of investing in re-                                                                                     drops for the stock market.
            cent years. Until the last few  49 such  days, according  tumult? Because stocks  years, according to Robert  Wall Street  also already
            weeks, anyone who began  to S&P Dow Jones Indices.  have proved to be some  W. Baird.                               knows what it's like  for the
            dabbling in the market af-   That's an average of four  of the best investments for  Broaden the horizon out to  Fed to turn  off the money
            ter March 2020 had known  every month.                    the long term,  as long as  10  years, and the S&P 500  printer it used to buy bonds
            a time where stocks pretty  And a 10% drop for the S&P  an investor  can hang on  almost  always rises over  to support the economy,
            much only went up.           500 isn't a rare thing either.  through the  volatility  and  that timespan, with the de-  and to then suck out some
            The    recent    shakiness,  They tend to happen ev-      resist the temptation to sell.  cade  following the 2000  of those dollars  sloshing
            though, shouldn't come as  ery couple years or so, with  After every major down-       dot-com bubble a nota-       around the economy. But
            a surprise to anyone. This is  23 of them over the last 50  turn for U.S. stocks, from the  ble exception. That's  why  never before has  the Fed
            what stocks do, and it's the  years. Last month's  swoon  Great Depression to the  the general rule of thumb  been doing both such
            price that investors have  didn't even count as one  2000 dot-com  bubble to  is for investors not  to  have  things while a pandemic is
            paid  for their historically  of them, because the S&P  2008's near-collapse of the  money in stocks that they'll  still raging and inflation is at
            strong returns over the long  500 has yet to close a trad-  financial system, the mar-  need to use within the next  a nearly four-decade high.
            term.                        ing day at least 10% below  ket has eventually gone on  few years.                     That's why  many  on Wall
            That  4% swing in one  day  its  record. It's come close,  to recover all its losses and  "It can be a brutal combi-  Street expect big  swings
            last month?  In 2020, when  but each time it pulled up-   mark new peaks.              nation when the market is  to continue to shake the
            the  pandemic first struck,  ward enough at the end of  Following each of the S&P  experiencing volatility,  no  market, even if stocks
            investors saw 20 such stom-  the day to stay above that  500's  drops of at least  10%  matter how common or  have calmed down a bit
            ach-churning days. In 2008,  threshold.                   over  the  last 50 years, it's  how normal it may be," said  in recent  days.  But that
            during the throes  of the fi-  Why would anyone  put  climbed an average  of  Ross Mayfield, investment  shouldn't come as a surprise
            nancial crisis, there  were  themselves  through such  83% in the ensuing five  strategy analyst at Baird Pri-      to any investors in stocks.q
             Ford rides accounting gains, high prices to big 2021 profit



            DETROIT (AP)  —  Ford Mo-    reclassificaton of Ford's in-  was constrained  last year
            tor Co. reversed a loss and  vestment in electric vehicle  by the semiconductor chip
            rode some big accounting  startup Rivian, the compa-      shortage and other supply-
            changes to post a $17.94  ny made $1.59  per share,  chain disruptions.
            billion  net profit last  year,  falling  short of analyst  esti-  "It's the supply  chains that
            even as  it battled com-     mates of $1.86, according  limit what we could pro-
            puter chip  shortages that  to FactSet.  Revenue rose  duce, what we could pro-
            caused factory slowdowns  7.2% to $136.34 billion. That  vide," he  told reporters
            and vehicle shortages.       was  short of analyst  esti-  Thursday.
            U.S. sales for the Dearborn,  mates of $137.61 billion.   But Lawler warned that
            Michigan,  automaker fell  The  company said it ex-       Ford faced increased com-
            7%  for the year  over de-   pects full-year pretax prof-  modity costs for materials   This Oct. 25, 2011 file photo shows a Ford logo on the tailgate
            pressed    2020   numbers.   its this year to rise 15% to  such as  aluminum, steel,   of a pick-up truck, and on a Ford dealership sign in Salem, N.H.
            But customers paid record  25% over 2021 numbers, to  precious metals and resins.                                               Associated Press
            prices of nearly $51,000 per  a range  of $11.5 billion  to  Those costs increased $3
            vehicle in Ford's most lucra-  $12.5 billion.             billion  last  year, and Ford  winds that we're  working  a loss of  $1.28 billion last
            tive market, according to  Chief Financial Officer John  sees them  rising another  through," he said. "It's pretty  year as it also dealt with a
            Edmunds.com.                 Lawler said  Ford is  seeing  $1.5 billion to $2 billion this  much across the board on  huge restructuring, a costly
            Excluding   the   one-time   high demand for its  prod-   year.                        all of our commodities."     recall and a decline in the
            items such as the $8.2 billion  ucts, but its factory output  "That is one of our key head-  Ford's net income reversed  value of its pension fund.q
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