Page 10 - aruba-today-20171209
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A10   WORLD NEWS
              Saturday 9 december 2017

            Amid skepticism:                                                                        U.S. foresaw a costly victory in

            Jordan planning a shiny city in the desert                                              war with North Korea - in 1994


            By KARIN LAUB                meeting with local journal-  he said. But it is needed, he
            Associated Press             ists in late October.        argued, to relieve pressure   By MATT PENNINGTON
            MADOUNEH, Jordan (AP) —  This perceived secrecy and  on the capital.                    Associated Press
            A shiny new city is to arise  “top-down” approach has  Amman  was  a  hamlet  just      WASHINGTON (AP) — In a nuclear standoff with North
            from  Jordan’s  desert  over  drawn  widespread  criti-   a century ago and is seen     Korea more than two decades ago — long before the
            the  next  three  decades,  cism.                         as  an  upstart  among  the   reclusive government had atomic weapons that could
            potentially rivaling the king-  Few   Jordanians   have  region’s   ancient    cities,   threaten America — U.S. officials planned for war.
            dom’s  capital  of  Amman,  shown  much  enthusiasm,  such as Baghdad and Cai-          Declassified documents published Friday show the Unit-
            a  rapidly  growing  and  in-  even  among  Amman  resi-  ro. Today, Amman is home      ed States believed its military and South Korea’s forces
            creasingly  unwieldy  me-    dents  who  complain  con-   to more than 40 percent of    would “undoubtedly win” a conflict on the divided Ko-
            tropolis of 4 million people.  stantly  of  the  city’s  traffic.  Jordan’s  population  of  9.5   rean  Peninsula,  with  the  understanding  it  would  cost
            Announcing plans for what  Some suspect the new city  million.                          many casualties.
                                                                                                    The Pentagon estimated at the time that if war broke
                                                                                                    with  Korea,  some  52,000  American  service  members
                                                                                                    would be killed or wounded in the first three months.
                                                                                                    South Korean military casualties would total 490,000 in
                                                                                                    that time. And the number of North Korean and civilian
                                                                                                    lives claimed would be enormous, according to “The
                                                                                                    Two  Koreas”  by  Don  Oberdorfer,  a  definitive  modern
                                                                                                    history of Korean Peninsula.
                                                                                                    Today, with North Korea almost able to directly threat-
                                                                                                    en the U.S. mainland with nuclear strikes, the possibil-
                                                                                                    ity  of  conflict  looms  as  it  had  in  1994.  President  Don-
                                                                                                    ald Trump has vowed to stop the North Koreans from
                                                                                                    reaching such capability.
                                                                                                    Twenty-three years ago, the stakes were different.
                                                                                                    At that time, President Bill Clinton’s administration con-
                                                                                                    sidered a cruise missile strike on a North Korean nuclear
                                                                                                    complex after it began defueling a reactor that could
                                                                                                    provide fissile material for bombs for the first time. For-
                                                                                                    mer  President  Jimmy  Carter  headed  off  a  conflict,
                                                                                                    meeting with founding North Korean leader Kim Il Sung
                                                                                                    and helping seal an aid-for-disarmament agreement.
                                                                                                    The  pact  endured  for  nearly  a  decade,  despite  fre-
                                                                                                    quent disputes and periodic flare-ups on the peninsula.
                                                                                                    “We had taken a very strong position that we would
            This Nov. 30, 2017 photo, shows densely built apartment buildings and steep hills that are common   not permit North Korea to make a nuclear bomb,” Wil-
            in Amman, Jordan. A shiny new high-tech utopian city is planned to rise from Jordan’s bleak   liam Perry, who was defense secretary during the crisis,
            desert  over  the  next  three  decades,  potentially  rivaling  the  capital  of  Amman,  a  congested,   said this week. “We have said that many times since
            increasingly unwieldy metropolis of 4 million people. Critics say it’s often more efficient to address   then, but then we really meant it.”
            problems in existing cities and that new city projects tend to be risky endeavors.
                                                                          (AP Photo/Lindsey Leger)  A declassified transcript published by the National Se-
                                                                                                    curity Archive at George Washington University records

            it  portrays  as  a  high-tech  is  largely  meant  to  benefit  Almost  every  hour  of  the   Perry’s  discussion  on  the  standoff  with  South  Korea’s
            utopia, Jordan joined other  Jordan’s powerful and their  day is rush hour and urban    president in 1998. Perry was by then Clinton’s special
            Middle  Eastern  countries  business  cronies.  Govern-   sprawl  is  rapidly  devour-  envoy for North Korea.
            betting  on  multi-million-  ment officials deny that.    ing  precious  green  areas.   Perry  told  President  Kim  Dae-jung  that  the  U.S.  had
            dollar mega projects as an  This  week,  Amman  Mayor  Districts  of  mid-rise,  sand-  planned for a military confrontation and that “with the
            investment  magnet  and  Yousef       Shawarbeh     de-   colored  residential  build-  combined forces of the ROK and U.S., we can undoubt-
            quick economic fix.          fended  the  rocky  rollout  ings  spread  over  hills  and   edly win the war.” ROK refers to the abbreviation of the
            Yet  some  urban  plan-      in  a  meeting  with  business  valleys, with a few high-rise   South’s official name, the Republic of Korea.
            ners warn that “cities  from  people, diplomats and rep-  towers  marking  the  city    Speaking  to  South  Korea’s  Kim,  who  pursued  a  “sun-
            scratch”  are  risky  endeav-  resentatives  of  the  energy  center.                   shine”  policy  of  diplomatic  outreach  to  North  Korea,
            ors and argue it’s more ef-  and environmental sectors,  Rapid  growth  has  been       Perry said the “war involves many casualties in the pro-
            ficient  to  improve  existing  many  of  whom  seemed  driven  by  an  influx  of  hun-  cess. As a former defense secretary, I am well aware
            cities.                      skeptical.                   dreds  of  thousands  of  Pal-  of the negative aspects of war, and will do my best to
            In Jordan, the government  “The topic hasn’t been fully  estinian,  Syrian  and  Iraqi   avoid war.”
            promises  the  yet-to-be-    studied  yet,”  the  mayor  refugees  in  recent  de-      North  Korea  has  since  made  leaps  and  bounds  in  its
            named city will draw popu-   said  when  pressed  for  de-  cades.                      nuclear and missile development, particularly under its
            lation  away  from  Amman,  tails.  “When  we  conclude  It  is  also  linked  to  acceler-  current young leader, Kim Jong Un. Last week, it tested
            relieve  its  crippling  traffic  the  studies,  we  will  an-  ated  urbanization  across   an  intercontinental  ballistic  missile  with  a  likely  range
            jams,  provide  middle-class  nounce  plans  and  have  the Middle East and North       of  more  than  8,000  miles  (13,000  kilometers),  moving
            housing and inject momen-    clear roles for government,  Africa,  where  populations   it closer to perfecting a nuclear-tipped projectile that
            tum into a sluggish econo-   citizens,  investors,  and  so  flock   from   underdevel-  can strike all corners of the U.S. mainland.
            my plagued by high unem-     on.”                         oped rural areas into cities   Trump has not ruled out using force to stop the North
            ployment.                    Shawarbeh  insisted  that  looking for greater job op-     from achieving that capability if diplomacy fails. Back-
            But  authorities  have  re-  Amman  would  not  be  ne-   portunities.                  ing up the threat, the U.S. has stepped up its military
            leased  only  snippets  of  in-  glected as Jordan, buckling                            drills with allies, which Pyongyang condemns as prepa-
            formation  since  the  prime  under  record  public  debt,                              rations for invasion. This week, the U.S. and South Korea
            minister   mentioned    the  shifts  scarce  resources  to       Continued on Page 27   held air force drills involving more than 200 aircraft, in-
            new  city  for  the  first  time,  the new project. “The new                            cluding six U.S. F-22 and 18 F-35 stealth fighters.q
            seemingly  casually,  in  a  city is not a new Amman,”
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