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A2   UP FRONT
                    Friday 20 January 2023

            U.S. Treasury buys time for Biden and GOP on debt limit deal



            Continued from Front         over what are the circum-    The  debt  ceiling  was  origi-  default could be devastat-  the “X-date,” the deadline
                                         stances or conditions under  nally  a  fix  made  during  ing,  with  crashing  markets  when  the  Treasury’s  “ex-
            Biden  insists  on  a  “clean”  which the debts are going  World  War  I  that  enabled  and  panic-driven  layoffs  if  traordinary  measures”  are
            increase to the debt limit so  to be raised.”             bonds to be issued without  confidence  evaporated  in  depleted.
            that existing financial com-  But  any  deal  would  also  requiring  repeated  con-   a cornerstone of the global  Unlike the 2011 showdown,
            mitments can be sustained  need  to  pass  the  Demo-     gressional  approvals.  But  economy, the U.S. Treasury  the  Federal  Reserve  is  ac-
            and is refusing to even start  cratic-run  Senate.  Many  in  an  era  of  polarization  note.                      tively raising interest rates to
            talks with Republicans. Mc-  Democratic lawmakers are  and  rising  debt  loads,  the  Analysts  at  Bank  of  Amer-  lower inflation and is rolling
            Carthy  is  calling  for  nego-  skeptical  about  the  ability  limit has been transformed  ica  cautioned  in  a  report  off  its  own  holdings  of  U.S.
            tiations  that  he  believes  to  work  with  Republicans  into a political bludgeon. It  last  week  that  “there  is  a  debt, meaning that reces-
            will  lead  to  spending  cuts.  aligned  with  the  “Make  does not reflect the actual  high degree of uncertainty  sion  fears  are  already  el-
            It’s  unclear  how  much  he  America   Great    Again”  capacity  of  the  federal  about the speed and mag-       evated among consumers,
            wants to trim and whether  movement        started   by  government to borrow, sim-    nitude of the damage the  businesses and investors.
            fellow  Republicans  would  Trump.  The  MAGA  move-      ply  how  much  it  is  legally  U.S. economy would incur.”  Biden  administration  of-
            support  any  deal  after  ment has claimed that the  able to do so without con-       The underlying challenge is  ficials  have  said  they  will
            a  testy  start  to  the  new  2020 election lost by Trump  gressional signoff.        that the government would  not  prioritize  payments  to
            Congress  that  required  15  was  rigged,  a  falsehood  In  order  to  keep  the  gov-  have  to  balance  its  books  bondholders  if  the  country
            rounds  of  voting  to  elect  that  contributed  to  the  ernment open, the Treasury  on  a  daily  basis  if  it  lacks  passes  the  “X-date”  with-
            McCarthy as speaker.         Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection at  Department  on  Thursday  the  ability  to  issue  debt.  If  out  an  agreement.  Over
            Asked  twice  on  Wednes-    the U.S. Capitol.            was making a series of ac-   the government cannot is-    the  years,  officials  have
            day if there was evidence  “This  is  not  complicated:  counting  maneuvers  that  sue debt, it would have to  studied this emergency op-
            that  House  Republicans  If  the  MAGA  GOP  stops  would put a hold on contri-       impose  cuts  equal  in  size  tion, which Treasury officials
            can  ensure  the  govern-    paying  our  nation’s  bills,  butions and investment re-  on  an  annual  basis  to  5%  across administration have
            ment  will  avert  a  default,  Americans will be the ones  demptions for government  of  the  total  U.S.  economy.  said  is  unworkable  be-
            White  House  press  secre-  to pay the price,” said Sen-  workers’  retirement  and  Analysts  say  their  baseline  cause of the government’s
            tary Karine Jean-Pierre said  ate Majority Leader Chuck  health  care  funds,  giving  case is that the U.S. avoids  payments system.
            it’s  their  “constitutional  re-  Schumer,  D-N.Y.  “Political  the government enough fi-  default.                “To  some  extent,  the  ‘ex-
            sponsibility.” She did not say  brinkmanship with the debt  nancial space to handle its  Still,  if  past  debt  ceiling  traordinary  measures’  are
            whether  the  White  House  limit would be a massive hit  day-to-day  expenses  until  showdowns  such  as  the  the  backup  plan,  and
            saw signs at this stage that  to local economies, Ameri-  roughly June.                one  that  occurred  in  2011  once  those  are  exhausted
            a  default  was  out  of  the  can families, and would be  What  happens  if  these  are  any  guide,  Washing-     the  next  step  is  a  major
            question.                    nothing  less  than  an  eco-  measures  are  exhausted  ton  may  be  in  a  nervous  question  mark,”  econo-
            “We’re just not going to ne-  nomic crisis at the hands of  without  a  debt  limit  deal  state of suspended anima-  mists  at  Wells  Fargo  wrote
            gotiate  that,”  Jean-Pierre  the Republicans.”           is  unknown.  A  prolonged  tion with little progress until  in a Thursday analysis.q
            said. “They should feel the
            responsibility.”
            McCarthy said Biden needs
            to  recognize  the  political
            realities  that  come  with  a
            divided  government.  The
            speaker  equates  the  debt
            ceiling to a credit card limit
            and calls for a level of fiscal
            restraint  that  did  not  oc-
            cur under President Donald
            Trump,  a  Republican  who
            in 2019 signed a bipartisan
            suspension of the debt ceil-
            ing.  “Why  create  a  crisis
            over  this?”  McCarthy  said
            this  week.  “I  mean,  we’ve
            got a Republican House, a
            Democratic Senate. We’ve
            got  the  president  there.  I
            think it’s arrogance to say,
            ‘Oh, we’re not going to ne-
            gotiate about pretty much
            anything’  and  especially
            when it comes to funding.”
            Senate  Republican  Lead-
            er  Mitch  McConnell  said
            Thursday  in  Louisville,  Ken-
            tucky,  that  he  was  uncon-
            cerned about the situation
            because  debt  ceiling  in-
            creases are “always a rath-
            er contentious effort.”
            “America  must  never  de-
            fault  on  its  debt,”  McCon-
            nell  said.  “We’ll  end  up  in   Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen speaks with reporters during a visit to the Virginia Innovation Partnership Corporation incubator at the
            some  kind  of  negotiation   Center for Innovative Technology campus in Herndon, Va., Oct. 21, 2022.
            with   the   administration                                                                                                     Associated Press
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