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Page 14 / 38                                                            Stonecrest Annual 2018

Initial Impact of USMCA

The provisional deal known as the United States-Mexico-Canada
Agreement (USMCA) has caused uncertainty in the dairy sector.

The provisional deal known as       which benefit most Canadians,       io and Quebec. As of 2017, federal
the United States-Mexico-Canada     are being jeopardized to contin-    estimates place the number of
Agreement (USMCA) has plunged       ue to protect a small subset of     dairy farms in Canada at 10,961.
some dairy farmers into uncer-      farmers in Canada—estimated at      A 2016 estimate put that num-
tainty, with some now concerned     13,500 nationwide. Dairy farmers    ber at 11,280. As a bulk of those
that they might not be able to      are considered a potent political   farms are currently based in On-
survive.                            force in Quebec and Ontario, the    tario at approximately 3,600 and
                                    two provinces where the industry    in Quebec, approximately 5,300
The United States has repeated-     is strongest, and two key bat-      respectively. In Ontario alone, this
ly indicated that a key issue in    tlegrounds in next year’s federal   loss would amount to 1,100 dairy
NAFTA renegotiations is Canada’s    election.                           farms.
continued protection of dairy,
poultry and egg producers. These    Both the lobby group advocating     At issue is the question of just
protectionist policies, known as    for Canadian dairy farmers and a    how much access dairy farmers
supply management, were also        food policy professor who advo-     from outside the country should
an irritant in the Trans-Pacific    cates loosening the reins on the    have to Canada’s controlled do-
free trade negotiations. Supply     industry agree that if increasing   mestic market and whether the
management is a set of govern-      American access to up to 10 per     competition that would come
ment-imposed production quo-        cent of the Canadian market is      from increasing that access will
tas and structured prices to limit  the bargaining chip needed to       have a negative financial effect on
domestic supply while impeding      lock in a new NAFTA deal, there     domestic farmers.
consumer access to foreign im-      will be consequences.
ports through high tariffs.                                             “These imported products dis-
                                    It is feared that making a con-     place Canadian products, so
The question for Canadians is       cession to our domestic market      fewer Canadian dairy products
why broad trade agreements,         would result in wiping out a third  are available for our Canadian
                                    of Canadian dairy farms in Ontar-

                                                                            October 2018
                                                                           brought in the

                                                                              new USMCA
                                                                               Agreement
                                                                                leading to
                                                                        concessions that
                                                                            has Canada’s
                                                                         Farmers on the

                                                                                 offensive
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