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28                           Profiling A Conspiracy Theorist





             Profiling a Conspiracy

               Theorist: Why Some

                    People Believe



              By Joshua Hart, Union College


          Here's a theory: President Barack Obama was
          not born in the United States. Here's another:
          Climate change is a hoax. Here's one more: The
          "deep state" spied on Donald  Trump's
          campaign, and is now trying to destroy his
          presidency.
                 Who believes this stuff? Conspiracy
          theories have been cooked up for ages, but for
          the first time in history, we have a president who
          has regularly endorsed them.  Assuming that
          President Donald  Trump's preoccupation is
          genuine, he shares it with many fellow                 Consistent with previous research, we   espoused unusual ideas, including the theory
          Americans. What explains it?                    found that one major predictor of conspiracy   that people have a limited lifetime reservoir of
                 I'm a psychologist who studies, among    belief was "schizotypy." That's a constellation  energy that physical exercise depletes.
          other things, people's worldviews and belief    of traits that include a tendency to be relatively     President Trump also seems to see the
          systems. I wanted to figure out why some        untrusting, ideologically eccentric and prone to  world as a dangerous place. His campaign
          people gobble up conspiratorial explanations,   having unusual perceptual experiences (e.g.,   speeches warned about murderous rapist
          while others dismiss them as the raving of      sensing stimuli that are not actually present).  immigrants flooding across the border and black
          lunatics.                                       The trait borrows its name from schizophrenia,  communities being in "the worst shape" they've
                                                          but it does not imply a clinical diagnosis.    ever been. His inauguration address described a
          Consistency in views                                   Schizotypy is the strongest predictor of  hellish landscape of "American carnage."

                                                          conspiracy belief. In addition to experiencing
          By and large, people gravitate toward           the world in unusual ways, we found that people  Chaos needs comfort
          conspiracy theories that seem to affirm or      higher in schizotypy have an elevated need to
          validate their political views. Republicans are  feel unique, which has previously been linked  The dismal nature of most conspiracy theories
          vastly more likely than Democrats to believe the  with conspiracism.  Why? Probably because    presents a puzzle to psychologists who study
          Obama "birther" theory or that climate change   believing in non-mainstream ideas allows       beliefs, because most belief systems – think
          is a hoax. Democrats are more likely to believe  people to stand out from their peers, but at the  religion – are fundamentally optimistic and
          that  Trump's campaign "colluded" with the      same time take refuge in a community of like-  uplifting. Psychologists have found that people
          Russians.                                       minded believers.                              tend to adopt such beliefs in part because they
                 But some people are habitual                    In our studies, conspiracy believers were  fulfill emotional goals, such as the need to feel
          conspiracists who entertain a variety of generic  also disproportionately concerned that the   good about oneself and the world. Conspiracy
          conspiracy theories.                            world is a dangerous place. For example, they  theories don't seem to fit this mold.
                 For example, they believe that world     were more likely to agree that "all the signs" are     Then again, if you are a person who
          politics are controlled by a cabal instead of   pointing to imminent chaos.                    looks at the world and sees chaos and
          governments, or that scientists systematically          Finally, conspiracists had distinct    malevolence, perhaps there is comfort in the
          deceive the public.  This indicates that        cognitive tendencies:  They were more likely   notion that there is someone to blame. If "there's
          personality or other individual differences     than nonbelievers to judge nonsensical         something going on," then there is something
          might be at play.                               statements as profound – for example,          that could be done about it.
                 In fact, some people seem to be          "wholeness quiets infinite phenomena" – a              Perhaps, then, even the darkest and most
          downright devoted to conspiracy theories.       tendency cheekily known as "bullshit           bizarre conspiracy theories offer a glint of hope
          When conspiracy maven  Alex Jones' content      receptivity."                                  for some people.
          was recently banned from several social media          They were also more likely to say that          Take the "QAnon" theory that has
          websites, the popularity of his Infowars news   nonhuman objects – triangle shapes moving      recently received a flurry of media attention.
          app skyrocketed.                                around on a computer screen – were acting      This theory features a nightmare of pedophile
                 Scientific research examining the nature  intentionally, as though they were capable of  rings and satanic cults. But some adherents have
          of the "conspiratorial disposition" is abundant,  having thoughts and goals they were trying to  adopted a version of the theory that President
          but scattershot. So in a pair of new studies, and  accomplish.                                 Trump has it all under control.
          with help from my student Molly Graether, I            In other words, they inferred meaning
                                                                                                                 If  our    research   advances     the
          tried to build on previous research to piece    and motive where others did not.               understanding of why some people are more
          together a more comprehensive profile of the                                                   attracted to conspiracy theories than others, it is
          typical conspiracy theory believer, and for that Is Trump a conspiracy thinker?                important to note that it says nothing about
          matter, the typical non-believer.                                                              whether or not conspiracy theories are true.
                                                          Although we can't know how he would score on            After the  Watergate scandal brought
          Common traits                                   our questionnaires, President  Trump's public  down a president for participating in a criminal
                                                          statements and behavior suggest that he fits the  conspiracy, the  American public learned that
          We asked more than 1,200 American adults to     profile fairly well.                           seemingly outlandish speculation about the
          provide extensive information about themselves         First, he does display some schizotypal  machinations of powerful actors is sometimes
          and whether they agreed with generic            characteristics. He is famously untrusting of  right on the money.
          conspiratorial statements. We tried to measure  others. Donald Trump Jr. has described how his         And when a conspiracy is real, people
          as many personal factors as possible that had   father used to admonish him in kindergarten not  with a conspiracist mindset may be among the
          been previously linked to conspiracy belief.    to trust anyone under any circumstances.  The  first to pick up on it – while others get duped.
          Looking at many traits simultaneously would     elder Trump is also relatively eccentric. He is a  The rub is that the rest of the time, they might
          allow us to determine, all else being equal,    unique politician who doesn't hew consistently  be duping themselves. []
          which ones were most important.                 to party lines or political norms. He has
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