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Notes to Pages 235–236                435

               elements. This formulation leaves open what is to count as an “element.” Kieras and
               Bovair (1986) and Singley and Anderson (1989) have shown that if an  element is
               interpreted as a production rule, then Thorndike’s principle predicts the amount
               of  transfer  to  a  high  degree.  However,  rules  have  to  have  at  least  a  minimal
               level of abstraction to apply to multiple situations, so the identical rules inter-
               pretation hides within it the second, and older, idea about  transfer: Knowledge
               transfers because it is abstract. This concept has been around since the begin-
               ning  of  systematic  thinking  about  cognition  (e.g.,  James,  1890;  see  vol.  1,
               pp. 505–508, and vol. 2, pp. 345–348) and it is still current (Bassok & Holyoak,
               1989; Goldstone & Sakamoto, 2003; Ohlsson, 1993b; Ohlsson & Lehtinen, 1997;
               Reed, 1993; Salomon & Perkins, 1989). A third idea about transfer is that it occurs
               via analogy (Gentner, 1983; Gick & Holyoak, 1980, 1983; Hummel & Holyoak,
               2003; Markman & Gentner, 2000). From a transfer point of view, the main dif-
               ference between abstraction and analogy is that in the former case, the cognitive
               work necessary to bridge from the training task to the transfer task – creating the
               abstraction – is carried out in the context of mastering the training task, while in
               the analogy case, that work – creating the analogical mapping – is carried out at
               the time of encountering the transfer task. The transfer mechanism implied by
               the constraint-based theory strikes a balance between processing for the pres-
               ent and processing for the future, allowing for re-use of previously constructed
               skill components while also recognizing that re-use typically requires a variable
               amount of revision; see Ohlsson (2007a). However, it is highly unlikely that there
               is a single mechanism behind transfer of training (Nokes, 2009). See Detterman
               and Sternberg (1993), Haskell (2001) and Salomon and Perkins (1989) for useful
               reviews of transfer research.
            41.  Detterman (1993) summarized studies that failed to find transfer and pointed
               out that studies that produce measurable transfer effects tend to provide optimal
               conditions, including great similarities between training and transfer tasks and
               strong hints that the training task is relevant to the transfer task, factors that
               might not be present outside the laboratory. An example is Gick and Holyoak’s
               (1980) study of analogical transfer between two isomorphs of Duncker’s classic
               radiation problem (or the convergence problem). Even in a situation in which the
               two isomorphs follow each other in the course of a short experiment, 59% of the
               subjects failed to solve the transfer problem without a hint to use the analogue;
               24% did not solve it even with the hint (Exp. V, Table 12). However, there is no
               standard metric and no widely accepted baseline or base rate against which to
               compare transfer effects: Some experimental subjects will perform a transfer task
               well even without transfer, so what level of performance is evidence for transfer?
               Gagné, Foster and Crowley (1948) reviewed a variety of savings measures of trans-
               fer – how much less training is required to master the transfer task after mastery
               of a training task as compared to after no prior training – but recent experimen-
               tal work on transfer does not typically use such measures (but see Nokes and
               Ohlsson, 2004, and Singley and Anderson, 1989, for exceptions). In the absence
               of a standard metric and an accepted baseline for the amount of transfer, claims
               that transfer effects are great or small are moot. The amount of transfer is also a
               concern in the design of training in industry and business (Baldwin & Ford, 1988;
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