Page 42 - Banking Finance May 2025
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ARTICLE

          Dominance of Sovereign Bonds in Institutional Portfolios

          This journey of more than a century prolonged period has seen the depth of the sovereign bond market gravitating further
          so much that close to 80% of the following top PSU Bank's domestic investments are parked in these government backed
          securities.

                                                      Q2FY2025
                                                                                                     Rs. In Crores

                                      SBI          BOB          PNB          UBI         Canara        IOB
           Domestic Investment     15,98,761     3,60,244      4,70,391     3,57,175     3,75,568     1,03,128
           SLR                     13,10,905     3,00,180      3,48,490     2,84,423     3,26,523        78,218
           SLR (%)                    82%          83%          74%          80%          87%          76%


          The  government  securities  comprising  of  Central  which these government securities are issued through
          Government Bonds, State Development Loans, Treasury  auctions conducted by governments banker, the Reserve
          Bills, Sovereign Gold and Green Bond have been used as  Bank of India. Different maturity paper attracts differential
          benchmark for pricing other similar financial instruments.  coupon. This financial year the issuances have ranged from
          The Government Securities issuance announced in the  3 years to 50 years, with coupon yield ranging from 6.64%
          budget document every year helps gauge India's fiscal  to 7.34%. These coupons are the borrowing cost of the
          discipline. This in turn is used by the international market  government. Hence, during benign interest rate scenario,
          pandits to assign the country's credit rating.      government tends to borrow more to avail the benefit of
                                                              low interest cost. This issuance forms part of the primary
          Regular and transparent issuances of government securities  market.
          signal fiscal discipline, while benchmark yields, such as those
          on 10-year bonds, serve as key indicators for credit rating    New Issuances FY2025
          agencies. Low yields demonstrate investor confidence and
                                                               New GS 2034     New GS 2039     New GS 2064
          effective fiscal management, while high yields can highlight
                                                               7.10%           7.23%           7.34%
          fiscal strain, influencing a country's creditworthiness. At
          present, Standard & Poor's credit rating for India stands at  New GS 2027  New GS 2029  New GS 2031
          BBB- with positive outlook. Moody's credit rating for India  7.02%   7.04%           7.02%
          was last set at Baa3 with stable outlook. DBRS' credit rating  New GS 2054  New GS 2034  New GS 2039
          for India was last reported at BBB (low) with positive  7.09%        6.79%           6.92%
          outlook.
                                                               New GS 2074     New GS 2027     New GS 2029
                                                               7.09%           6.64%           6.75%
          In general, these credit ratings are used by sovereign wealth
          funds, pension funds and other investors to gauge the credit  New GS 2031  GOI SGrB 2034  GOI SGrB 2034
          worthiness of India thus having a significant impact on the  6.79%   6.79%           6.90%
          country's borrowing costs. A robust bond market anchored
          by sound fiscal policies lowers borrowing costs, enhances  Once, these securities make way into the hands of primary
          global investor confidence, and strengthens a nation's  dealers, who are underwriters to government issuances, the
          creditworthiness, fostering long-term economic stability and  market demand decides the premium or discount at which
          growth.                                             these securities trade. Usually, government issues, securities
                                                              to the tune of Rs.1 lakh crore in a particular tenor, hence
          Yields, Market Sentiments, and Bench-               for example, New GS 2031 which got issued at 6.79% on
                                                              the day of its first issuance, gets re-issued as 6.79%GS2031
          marks                                               in subsequent auctions till it reaches the quantum of Rs.1

          The borrowing cost of the government is the coupon at  Lakh crore. As long as the quantum of issuance remains

            38 | 2025 | MAY                                                                | BANKING FINANCE
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