Page 43 - Banking Finance May 2025
P. 43

ARTICLE

         unexhausted, the bond market trades in such securities  A favourable yield spread compared to other countries
         actively. As the issuance reaches exhaustion limit, the  attracts foreign capital. The 10-year G-sec benchmark paper
         number of trades decline placing such securities in the  is a cornerstone of India's financial markets, influencing
         sparsely traded or untraded category.                investment decisions,  policymaking, and  the broader
                                                              economic environment. Looking at the historical movement,
         They are also removed from the margin eligibility category  India has seen its 10-year benchmark rate falling from
         by CCIL and RBI and replaced by actively traded security.  12.75% levels in 1998 to the 6.89% levels of 2025 marking
         Hence, investors who plan to hold  such securities till  significant improvement in the economic condition of the
         maturity may enjoy half yearly coupon payments, but traders  country in the past two decades. There has been an influx
         need to exit by booking profits or cutting losses if it remains  of foreign funding which has created a demand for sovereign
         in the trading parlance of the market. When a security is  bonds which has also lowered the borrowing cost for the
         traded rarely, it is not possible to find a desirable exit and  government.
         may lead to distressed selling or locking funds in holdings till
         maturity. The government comes with conversion or switch  Global Integration and Future Opportu-
         auctions at times to ease the pressure of redemption and
         may  provide  investors  with  an  exit  option,  but  the  nities
         possibilities are not coincident with one's holdings.  The recent addition of India's sovereign bonds in the JP
                                                              Morgan and Bloomberg's Global Bond Index has added
                                                                                    another feather in the cap for
                                                                                    India. The influx of close to $21
                                                                                    billion has eased the yields from
                                                                                    above  7.00%  levels  to  6.80%
                                                                                    levels.  Further,  issuance  of
                                                                                    sovereign  green  bonds  is
                                                                                    changing  the  landscape  of
                                                                                    government bonds.

                                                                                    We may see a steady transition of
                                                                                    all government bonds turning
                                                                                    green.   However,    India's
                                                                                    vulnerability in climate risk index
                                                                                    is making this transitionary path
         The most traded security is the 10-year
         benchmark paper. The yield of the 10-year
         G-sec reflects market sentiment regarding
         economic conditions, inflation expectations,
         and monetary policy. A rising yield often
         signals expectations of higher inflation or
         tighter monetary policy, while a falling yield
         suggests the opposite. It is widely used by
         institutional investors, such as banks, mutual
         funds,  and  insurance  companies,  as  a
         benchmark for  portfolio allocation and
         performance. The 10-year G-sec yield is also
         used to price long-term bonds and loans. It
         is a critical determinant for foreign portfolio
         investors  (FPIs)  when  deciding  on
         investments in Indian debt markets.


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