Page 34 - The Insurance Times November 2025
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Risk Stratification






          Epigenetic Clocks as


          Predictors of Mortality:



          A New Tool for Life



          Insurance Risk                                                                   Adwitiya Chaudhuri


                                                                                               Assistant Professor
          Stratification                                                               Pingla Thana Mahavidyalaya
                                                                                           Department of Zoology,
                                                                                                     West Bengal




           Numerous cohort studies have validated the utility of epigenetic clocks in predicting all-cause
           mortality. For instance, accelerated epigenetic aging, where biological age exceeds chronological
           age, has been consistently associated with increased mortality risk (Marioni et al., 2015).





         1. Introduction                                      raises significant ethical, legal, and technical challenges that
                                                              must be carefully addressed.
         The accurate prediction of individual mortality risk is a
         longstanding challenge across medicine, public health, and
         actuarial science. Traditional actuarial models primarily rely  2. Understanding Epigenetic Clocks
         on demographic data, lifestyle information, and medical  2.1 What is Epigenetics?
         history to estimate life expectancy. While useful, these  Epigenetics refers to heritable yet reversible changes in gene
         models often fail to capture biological variation between  expression that occur without altering the underlying DNA
         chronological age and biological age, limiting their precision.  sequence. The most studied epigenetic mechanism is DNA
         Advances in molecular biology, particularly in the field of  methylation, involving the addition of methyl groups to
         epigenetics, have revealed that DNA methylation patterns  cytosine residues at CpG dinucleotides. These modifications
         can serve as robust biomarkers of aging. These insights have  regulate gene expression, developmental processes, and
         led to the development of epigenetic clocks as predictive  responses to environmental exposures. Importantly, DNA
         tools  that  quantify  biological  age  and  offer  strong  methylation patterns change predictably with age, making
         correlations with health outcomes and mortality risk.  them suitable biomarkers for estimating biological age.


         This emerging technology holds particular relevance for the  2.2 Development of Epigenetic Clocks
         life insurance industry, where risk stratification is essential  The first major advancement came with Horvath's multi-
         for  underwriting  policies  and  setting  premiums.  By  tissue  clock  (2013),  which  demonstrated  that  DNA
         integrating epigenetic clocks into actuarial frameworks,  methylation profiles could estimate chronological age with
         insurers may be able to refine risk assessment, improve  remarkable accuracy across diverse tissues. Following this,
         accuracy,  and  enhance  long-term  financial  stability.  Hannum et al. (2013) developed a blood-specific clock,
         However, the incorporation of such molecular data also  strengthening associations with health outcomes. More

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