Page 40 - Banking Finance December 2022
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ARTICLE


          along  with  manipulation in  packaging  is  a  respite for  While banks have resorted to cost effective measures by
          companies now, as this invariably goes unnoticed by the  hosting banking transactions on digital medium, further
          consumers.                                          shrinkage in physical accessories may improve their bottom
                                                              lines. Banks are struggling with their margins more than
          Shrinkflation as a concept isn’t unethical but some would  before since now the rates are linked to Repo, the revision
          liken it to playing a ‘cheeky’ shot in cricket. This concept of  of which is in the hands of RBI. Banks will have to maintain
          Shrinkflation has gained prominence now and the unversed  certain consistency in deposit rates in order to strengthen
          are visibly flabbergasted. Butthis is an age old practice. Few  their advance base.
          notable instances of Shrinkflation related to the past, are
          as under:                                           On the other hand lending rates can’t be tweaked much as
          a)  In 2014, Coca-Cola reduced the size of its large bottle  it will impact the lending businesses. This given that the
             from 2 liters to 1.75 liters.                    lending business in India hasn’t really peaked post pandemic.
                                                              Banks are therefore left with commission/fee based income
          b)  In 2010, Kraft slashed the weight of Toblerone bars from
                                                              and digitalization to spruce their financials. The residual
             200 grams to 170 grams.
                                                              portion pertaining to cost shocks can further be absorbed
          c)  In 2010, Tetley reduced the number of teabags sold in
                                                              through shrinkage in tangible products.
             one box from 100 to 88.
                                                              While the concept of Shrinkflation is yet in its infancy in terms
          The major benefits companies visualize through shrinkage
                                                              of  application  in  banks,  the  prevalent  and  prevailing
          is that the demand for their products remain unchanged.
                                                              conditions in the  country  and elsewhere may force  or
                                                              compel banks to think on similar lines very quickly. What is
          Now let’s steer towards the Indian Banking Industry and
                                                              to be seen is how banks maneuver through this phase and
          super impose the concept of Shrinkflation on it. While the
                                                              realign their strategies. Banks in  India have to be in all
          concept is widely extended to manufacturing companies,
                                                              preparedness because after the  introduction  of Digital
          can banks also take a leaf out of it? Will it be viable?
                                                              Currency, the deposit base may also take a dent and to
                                                              retain physical deposits, banks will have to shell out more.
          It can be best decided by the readers, however an attempt
                                                              While the  expenses  will  amplify on  certain fronts, the
          to conjure up the shrinkage possibilities with unchanged cost
                                                              reduction of it on certain fronts shall help banks remain
          structure is as follows:
                                                              favorably poised. This seemingly is the feasible way ahead.
          a)  Can banks resize the debit and credit cards
          b)  Can banks resize the cheque books?
                                                              The views expressed in this article entirely belongs to the
          c)  Can banks resize the deposit and withdrawal challans?  author and the employer bears no responsibility.


             ECB may have to cool growth to control inflation, says Lagarde
           The European Central Bank may need to raise interest rates so much that they dampen growth as it fights sky-high
           inflation, while any runoff in the ECB's bond holdings must be "measured and predictable", its chief Christine Lagarde
           said. The ECB has raised rates by an unprecedented 200 basis points since July and flagged yet more policy tightening via
           rate hikes, the reduction of its 5 trillion euro ($5.2 trillion) debt holdings and more expensive bank funding. "We expect
           to raise rates further - and withdrawing accommodation may not be enough," Lagarde said in a speech at a conference.
           "Interest rates are, and will remain, the main tool for adjusting our policy stance," she said. "Acknowledging that
           interest rates remain the most effective tool for shaping our policy stance, it is appropriate that the balance sheet is
           normalised in a measured and predictable way."
           The comments suggest the euro zone's central bank aims to shrink its 3.3 trillion euro Asset Purchase Programme of
           mostly government debt passively, possibly putting it on auto pilot instead of using it to actively manage the ECB's
           policy stance.



            40 | 2022 | DECEMBER                                                           | BANKING FINANCE
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