Page 37 - RMAI Bulletin July - September 2021
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RMAI BULLETIN JULY TO SEPTEMBER 2021


             it is one that is broadly utilized now a days. One way  d) Stability
             to depict emerging economy as simply “all those     A defining characteristic of many emerging
             countries not considered developed”. Developed here  economies is a lack of stability either economically
             meaning essentially the major European countries plus  or politically
             the US, Canada, Japan, Australia and New Zealand.
                                                              “We will define emerging economies as: those
             Key Attributes                                   countries which have started to grow but have
             A more useful way to look at defining emerging yet to reach a mature stage of development
             economies is to consider some of their key attributes  and/or where there is significant potential for
             and see what help this gives us.                 economic or political instability.”

             The major ones would be:                         Key Characteristics of Emerging

             a) Level of income                               economies
                 This is a commonly used measure. The World
                 Bank, for example, uses Gross Domestic Product  The key defining characteristics, therefore, are
                 (GDP) per head as a measure to classify countries  maturity and instability.
                 as set out in following Table. (Source- World Bank)  a) Maturity is used to describe one of the stages in a
                                                                 continuum or life cycle of development. The stages
                   Classification   GDP per head USD             are birth, growth, maturity and decline which
                   Low                    <755                   follow a pattern such as that depicted in Fig 1
                   Lower Middle         755<2995
                   Upper Middle         2995<9265
                   High                  >=9265


             b) Growth Rate
                 One reason that emerging markets have been
                 considered attractive has been that they often
                 exhibit a high rate of GDP growth. Many Asian
                 economies averaged 4–7 per cent growth during
                 the eighties and nineties for example, compared
                 with 1–3 per cent for developed economies, but
                 this has not been the case for all emerging market
                 countries.
                                                              Fig 1. Life Cycle
             c) Stage of development
                 This is a factor that fits more closely with the word  In the context of the stage of development of a
                 emerging. There are a number of dimensions we   country, the key measure is usually GDP, as income
                 could consider:                                 and development are closely linked.

                 Y   the degree of openness in the economy as
                     measured by the degree of deregulation,  b) Instability is the concern with many emerging
                     privatization of state enterprises, or the  economies. It is the uncertainty over what might
                     extent of tariff and other barriers to trade;  happen in the future. This uncertainty may be
                                                                 political or economic, sometimes it is both.
                 Y   the size of the market in terms of goods such
                     as cars, telephones, electronic goods
                                                              Political uncertainty arises where there is a history of
                 Y   the state of financial markets including the  instability or a high probability that change will occur. The
                     existence, size and degree of concentration of  causes of this instability are many and include religious or
                     the stock market, and the size and depth of  tribal tensions, repressive regimes, domestic insurrection,
                     local bond markets.                      war or threat of war, economic problems, etc.



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