Page 38 - RMAI Bulletin July - September 2021
P. 38

RMAI BULLETIN JULY TO SEPTEMBER 2021


             Comparison of emerging economies                    •   poor health (AIDS in some countries) or
                                                                     poverty;
             over other economies
                                                                 •   concept of the extended family (provides
             Change is more likely to occur in emerging economies    safety net);
             and the changes that occur happen more quickly and
             are more unpredictable.                             •   education levels low.

                                                              3. Political- In only a few emerging economies has
             Risk is greater in two ways.                        democracy been the norm for more than 10–15
             Y   Firstly, emerging economies are different from  years
                 developed economies and this gives rise to new  •   stable but despotic/one party rule or regular
                 risks;                                              change in government;
             Y   Secondly, risks which have a low probability of  •  democratic but not free elections;
                 occurring in developed countries, have a higher  •  multiparty governments with changing
                 likelihood of occurring in emerging economies.
                                                                     factions;
                                                                 •   historical legacy – colonial past or former
             The nature of emerging economies                        communist state;
             Covers various physical, social, political and economic  •  potential for violent overthrow;
             aspects that underlie the weaknesses and instabilities
             that characterize their economies.                  •   corruption;
                                                                 •   control of the press though this is being
             1. Physical- Emerging economies  exhibit a wide         undermined by the Internet and satellite
                 range of physical attributes that in one way or     television;
                 another tend to place some limitations on the   •   strong influence of the military;
                 growth opportunities of a country or make it    •   lack of legal framework or laws in place but
                 vulnerable to external influences. Some of these    not enforced;
                 factors are:                                    •   contracts not always honoured;
                 •   geography – large or small size, inaccessible
                     regions or barriers to travel, distance from  •  internal conflict/repression;
                     developed economies;                        •   war or threat of war;
                 •   dependency on weather patterns –rains, El   •   many regulations, together with a propensity
                     Nino                                            to bring out new ones without consultation or
                 •   vulnerability to natural disaster – floods,     thinking them through.
                     earthquakes;
                                                              4. Economic- Sound economic performance requires
                 •   poor infrastructure – transport, utilities, etc;
                                                                 the country to have some competitive advantage
                 •   reliance on a few agricultures and/or primary  to start with, which is then effectively exploited.
                     commodities.                                •   skewed income distribution;

                                                                 •   managed economy – subsidized prices;
             2. Social- The social fabric of a country will support
                 or hinder its development. Some of the factors  •   dependence on primary exports and/or
                 •   language – often there are many local           tourism and/or aid flows for foreign exchange;
                     languages but a foreign language is needed to  •  net oil importers (few notable exceptions);
                     conduct international trade (English, Chinese,  •  protected home markets;
                     Spanish or French being the most common);   •   IMF/World Bank support required;
                 •   tribal divisions;                           •   large black economy;
                 •   religion;                                   •   high unemployment or underemployment
                 •   population growth;                              (but no or limited state support);
                 •   skewed population distribution – large      •   poor quality/quantity of data – lack of
                     percentage less than 15 years of age;           transparency;


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