Page 39 - Insurance Times February 2022
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schemes. Claims may be made fraudulently, but processed  scenarios to assess a firm's ability to weather an economic
         rapidly, with less stringent controls than usual. If approved,  downturn can then help it improve efficiency and
         funds may be transferred rapidly and with the whole system  productivity and find investment alternatives.
         under stress, recovering funds due to fraud may be a
         relatively low priority.                             3. Cyber Attack/Data Breach:
                                                              The Risk:
         The risk of internal fraud will potentially increase due to
         remote working and associated reduced oversight and  Every organization is vulnerable to cyber risk, and industries
                                                              relying heavily on digital technology to increase efficiency
         challenge.
                                                              and competitiveness are in particular danger.
         Considerations:
                                                              Considerations:
         a. Employing predictive modeling: Data and analytics could
                                                              Every level of an organization must understand the potential
             improve organizations' understanding of consumer and
                                                              impact of a cyber-attack and data breach and then work
             identify factors and elements that can help prevent
                                                              cross-functionally to address those risks.
             future fraud. The goal is to detect potential fraud as
             early as possible in the claims process and thus reduce
                                                              Businesses should consider adopting a comprehensive
             payments made to fraudsters.
                                                              approach to cyber threats to continually assess their risk
         b. Using business rules to detect irregularities: Business
                                                              profiles, address vulnerabilities and proactively fortify cyber
             rules can allow forthe identification of anomalies or
                                                              defenses.
             irregularities during the processing of claims. Such rules,
             for example, compare claims based on various types of
             fraud (individual or organized fraud), and determine  4. Cash Flow/Liquidity Risk
             whether to have the personnel in charge investigate the The Risk:
             fraudulent incidents, and if so, when.           An event impairing an organization's cash flow or liquidity
         c.  Social Network Analysis: Social network analysis has  can leave the business unable to meet short- or
             proven effective in identifying organized fraud activities  intermediate-term obligations. Cash flow risk can be
             by modeling relationships between entities in claims. For  attributed to economic uncertainty and financial market
             example, social network analysis might show a high-  volatility.
             activity account with links from many accounts, or a low-
             activity account with strong links to a master account.  Considerations:
             It might reveal multiple claims in a short period of time  Industry experts recommend that companies concerned
             from related parties, such as members of a single family,  about cash flow risk should seek to monitor and maximize
             or the classic ring associated with staged accident  their cash positions. Organizations should also implement
             scams.                                           controlled cash management systems; either decrease or

         2. Economic Slowdown
         The Risk:
         Many economists believe world recession is in the cards by
         the end of 2021. But due to Covid-19, we are already
         entered into recession phase. Such a slowdown could hit
         businesses all over the world as declining trade, reduced
         earnings, cuts in capital spending and slowed real estate
         activity start to bite. An economic slowdown could also fan
         the flames of trade wars and geopolitical risks - or vice versa.

         Consideration:
         Conducting rigorous stress tests and considering hypothetical

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