Page 18 - Insurance Times May 2019
P. 18

Cover Story

         RISK




         MANAGEMENT






         THROUGH





         MONETARY





         POLICY












         Introduction                                         2. Risk Measurement
         Reserve Bank of India (RBI) produces once in every two  3. Risk Management
         months monetary policy through Monetary Policy Committee  4. Risk monitoring and
         (MPC). The primary objective of monetary policy is to
                                                              5. Risk reporting.
         maintain the price stability (inflation) and growth (GDP).
         This write-up consider inflation and GDP as a risk factor to  Risk Identification
         the Government of India in managing the economy of the  The first step of risk management is risk identification,
         country. While the risk mitigating tools are repo rate, reverse  without the identification of the risk, we cannot do risk
         repo rate etc. The article will look at the monetary policy  management. So what is the risk with respect to the
         through the lens of risk management.
                                                              economy that monetary policy addresses? The risk is that
                                                              the inflation will be out of the defined band and GDP will
         There are five steps of risk management, they are
                                                              be lower than projected.
         1.  Risk Identification
                       About the author                       According to the RBI act that provide the inflation target to
                                                              be set by the Government of India, in consultation with RBI
                                                              once in every five year. For the period of August, 5 2016 to
                          Sonjai Kumar                        March 31, 2021, the target set is 4% CPI inflation with upper
                                                              tolerance of 6% and lower tolerance of 2%.
                          CMIRM, Independent Risk
                          Management Consultant,
                          Ambassador in India of Institute of  The government will consider it as a failure if average
                          Risk Management, London             inflation is more than upper tolerance (6%) for three
                                                              successive quarters; similarly, failure to consider if the

          18  The Insurance Times, May 2019
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