Page 11 - April 2023 Issue.indd
P. 11

on consumers and businesses. Month   at 9.1% and gasoline prices peaked at
            to month inflation  looks at inflation   $5 per gallon. It is well established that   ABEL
            changes between two consecutive    the cost of gasoline and diesel fuel has a

            months. Month to month infl ation has   significant impact on many items in the
            been down for the past six months.    BLS basket of goods and services.    EnviroTech
            When year over year infl ation reached   Now fast forward to May of 2023 when
            9.1% in June of 2022, month to month   prices will be compared with May

            inflation from May 2022 to June 2022   of 2022, one year ago. If we assume       On-Site
            was 1.4%, which sounds much better   gasoline prices will be $4 at that time,
            than 9.1%. But if inflation were to   it will be about the same as it was last
            continue at that rate for 12 months, that   year, so gasoline prices would indicate   • Sand Mounds
            would be an astronomical increase of   0% inflation. But, move forward one
            17% for 12 months.                 month to June of 2023 and compare with   • Conventional in
                                               June of 2022 when gas was $5 per gallon.      Ground Systems
            So, now that we have established how
                                               If gas is $4 a gallon in May of 2023 it

            these two inflation numbers are derived                                  New and replacement
                                               indicates a drop in inflation of  25%.
            we  can focus on the basis of my infl ation
                                               CPI has actually turned to a negative   • BAT Systems
            predications. You have to read the

                                               number, technically called deflation.
            following slowly to follow my logic. I                                 Best Prices – Best Values

            have my fingers crossed that you can.    This is an extreme example showing
                                               how I anticipate inflation numbers will   MDE   410-253-4324

            First we need to go back in time 12
                                               moderate  or possibly even decline this   listed  443-239-0854
            months ago to May of 2022 when the CPI
                                               year because prices were so high for
            was 8.6% higher than May of 2021 and
                                               much of 2022. If they do not, the Fed will   Abel EnviroTech of Denton
            gasoline prices at that time were about
                                               have no incentive to pump the brakes
            $4 per gallon. (I am only going to look
            at gas prices for this example). In June
                                                           (continued on next page)
            2022, one month later, infl ation peaked
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