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               which had no rice-fields (averaging, in the sample villages,
               more than 40 percent in West Java, 27 percent in Central Java
               and 50 percent in East Java), and the large numbers of both
               landless and near-landless who depended on agricultural wages

               for part of their incomes (AES 1972; Collier and Sajogyo
               1972b). From this point onwards the SAE combined its sur-
               veys on production and marketing problems with a consis-
               tent interest in the impact of smallholder intensification on
               agricultural employment and labour relations.
                   The SAE’s first report on employment impacts had been
               rather optimistic, noting that nearly all the sample farmers
               used hired labour as well as family labour and that those using
               the HYV’s used about 50 more person-days of hired labour
               per hectare than those using local varieties. Collier and Sajogyo
               concluded:

                   “If the IR and Pelita varieties are adopted on a majority of the
                   rice farms in irrigated areas on Java, the employment of
                   hired labour will definitely increase, maybe even attracting
                   people who have migrated to the cities” (Collier and Sajogyo
                   1972a: 8).

               In another report from the same period, however, the same
               authors were less optimistic, concluding that

                   “Because […] holdings are very small at the present time and
                   large numbers depend already on income from hired labour,
                   a further reduction in farm size and an increase in numbers
                   of farm labourers in the future will mean widespread rural
                   unemployment in the next 10 to 20 years. The high yielding
                   rice varieties will be able to alleviate this unemployment
                   only to a small extent because of the relatively small increase
                   in employment” (Collier and Sajogyo 1972b:42).


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