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c05Thetheoryofdemand.qxd  7/23/10  8:51 AM  Page 185







                                                                          5.4 MARKET DEMAND                     185

                      APPLICA TION                5.6
                      Externalities in Social Networking               founded in 2002. By the end of 2003 it had 83,000
                                                                       users. Two years later it had 4 million users, and by
                      Websites                                         mid-2009 it had 43 million users.
                                                                          Facebook has seen an even more dramatic rise.
                      Many products exhibit positive network externalities.  Founded in 2004, the site had over 300 million users
                      An obvious example is telephones. A consumer would  worldwide by late 2009, and it was available in over 50
                      find little value in having a telephone unless there were  languages. Facebook is popular with a wider popula-
                      other people with telephones. For most people, a tele-  tion than LinkedIn, as its design is more flexible and
                      phone becomes more useful as the number of other  encourages different types of users to use the site in
                      people with telephones increases. To some extent, a  different ways. For example, alumni from a specific
                      software application like Microsoft Word provides   high school and year can locate each other, become
                      another example. Consumers value using the most pop-  Facebook “Friends,” and set up a group to post infor-
                      ular document formats, since doing so makes it easier to  mation related to their school. A member can set up or
                      share created documents with others. Instant messag-  join many groups simultaneously, with different pur-
                      ing services offer a further example. As a specific mes-  poses. Many Facebook users treat the site as a blog,
                      saging service becomes more popular, it also creates  posting information about their current activities, in-
                      more value to a given consumer because the service can  terests, or links to articles on the Internet related to a
                      be used to communicate with more people.         particular theme. This flexibility has enabled Facebook
                         In recent years we have witnessed a dramatic   to grow extremely rapidly in popularity.
                      increase in social networking sites such as Facebook,  Such explosive growth is quite common in goods
                      LinkedIn, and Twitter. Consider the experience of  with positive network externalities because band-
                      LinkedIn, a site that allows businesspeople to post   wagon effects often get stronger as a particular
                      information about their credentials and career expe-  product becomes more popular. A positive network
                      rience. Many professionals use LinkedIn to search for  externality can make it very difficult for a new en-
                      jobs, develop contacts within their industry, or find  trant in the market, even when a new rival offers ad-
                      new customers for their services. LinkedIn was   vantages in quality, availability, or price.



                         Finally, positive network externalities can occur if a good or service is a fad. We
                      often see fads for goods and services that affect lifestyles, such as fashions of clothing,
                      children’s toys, or beer. Advertisers and marketers often try to highlight the popularity
                      of a product as part of its image.
                         Figure 5.22 illustrates the effects of a positive network externality. The graph
                      shows a set of market demand curves for connections to the Internet. For this example,
                      let’s assume that a connection to the Internet refers to a subscription to a provider of
                      access to the Internet, such as America Online or Microsoft Network. The curve D 30
                      represents the demand if consumers believe that 30 million subscribers have access to
                      the Internet. The curve D represents the demand if consumers believe that 60 million
                                           60
                      subscribers have access. Suppose that access initially costs $20 per month and that
                      there are 30 million subscribers (point A in the graph).
                         What happens if the monthly price of access drops to $10? If there were no posi-
                      tive network externality, the quantity demanded would simply change to some other
                      point on D . In this case, the quantity of subscriptions would grow to 38 million (point
                               30
                      B in the graph). However, there is a positive network externality; as more people use
                      e-mail, instant messaging, and other Internet features, even more people want to sign up.
                      Therefore, at the lower price, the number of consumers wanting access will be even
                      greater than a movement along D 30  to point B would indicate. The total number of
                      subscriptions actually demanded at a price of $10 per month will grow to 60 million
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