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38      PART 1  The Nature of Contemporary Business


                                        The Internet is of tremendous importance, but it is only a small segment of a
                                     nation’s economic output. However, the fact that the Internet is important does not
                                     imply that it must be profitable. The bursting of the Internet bubble in 2000 clearly
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                                     exposed the common misconception that importance equals profitability. As we
                                     have noted, there are many similarities between the IT-enabled technologies (espe-
                                     cially fiber-optic cable and related business) of 2000 and the United States’ railway
                                     mania of the 1870s. In the 1870s, would-be rail millionaires raised vast sums of
                                     money on the stock market to finance proposed railway lines by misleading
                                     investors on their companies’ business prospects. Most railway companies never
                                     paid a penny to shareholders, and many went bust (just like Global Crossings,
                                     Worldcom, and the dotcoms of the early 2000s in the United States), largely because
                                     irrational exuberance and overinvestment created excess capacity. Even so, the rail-
                                     ways brought huge economic benefits to the U.S. economy long after their share
                                     prices crashed. The lesson is that although the IT and Internet bubbles burst in
                                     2000, these may still produce long-term economic gains. Many investors, however,
                                     will have lost their shirts in the bargain! It is a sobering thought that 99 percent of
                                     the 5000 railway companies that once existed in the United States are no longer
                                     around. The same is true of 2000 car firms that once existed in the United States.
                                     According to a study by investment bankers Goldman Sachs, profits and share
                                     prices of the early electricity firms in the United States were disappointing, despite
                                     the industry’s profound effect on the economy. 15
                                        Despite the collapse of many IT and dotcom firms and the failure of many e-
                                     marketplaces, the fundamentals behind B2B e-commerce remain strong. A major
                                     risk that has emerged since September 11, 2001, in B2B e-commerce is the impact
                                     of terrorism (especially on transportation systems) along the supply chain. Effi-
                                     ciency improvements and cost savings achieved through B2B e-commerce have
                                     already led to higher productivity growth and lower costs and prices, which should
                                     allow Internet-enabled economies to grow faster with low inflation. While most of
                                     the gains will occur between businesses, the greatest long-term beneficiaries of B2B
                                     e-commerce will be the consumers, who will enjoy lower prices and higher living
                                     standards.


                                     Impact of IT on Globalization, Culture, Society,
                                     and Politics
                                     Although developing countries are widely thought to be losing out from ever-faster
                                     technological change, the Internet and related technologies are getting cheaper all
                                     the time, making timely information available instantaneously and globally. For
                                     example, A Better Life Foundation (www.ablf.org), a not-for-profit European organ-
                                     ization, ships older PCs (as they get replaced by their sophisticated European own-
                                     ers) to African countries like Burkina Faso for reuse. Such programs of computer
                                     recycling enhance the computer skills of people in developing countries and
                                     improve their employment prospects. Everyone benefits. Countries with poor fixed
                                     infrastructure need not despair. Mobile telephones are popular everywhere, even in
                                     developing countries. In poor countries, wireless IT has extra advantages, since
                                     fixed-line telephones in these countries are woefully inadequate and inefficiently
                                     run by state-owned monopolies. Some developing countries have created better
                                     communications infrastructures than rich countries, since they started late but
                                     adopted the latest technology at lower cost. The Internet allows the adoption of
                                     outside technologies faster and also helps the development of homegrown tech-
                                     nologies that often use open-source (free, e.g., Linux) software. It also enables
                                     closer collaboration within and among countries. Governments need to remove


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