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34      PART 1  The Nature of Contemporary Business


              EXHIBIT 1.10
              World’s Ten Largest Economies, PPP Basis, U.S. dollars 2001

                                                        Percentage of
                                        PPP GNI            World           Population      PPP GNI per Capita
                Country               (US$ billions)      PPP GNI           (millions)          (US$)

                 United States          9,900.70            21.34             284              34,870
                 China                  5,415.00            11.67            1,272              4,260
                 Japan                  3,487.00             7.51             127              27,430
                 India                  2,530.00             5.45            1,033              2,450
                 Germany                2,098.00             4.52              82              25,530
                 France                 1,495.00             3.22              59              25,280
                 United Kingdom         1,466.00             3.16              60              24,460
                 Italy                  1,404.00             3.03              58              24,340
                 Brazil                 1,286.00             2.77             173               7,450
                 Russia                 1,255.00             2.70             145               8,660
                 Others                16,066.30            34.62            2,840              5,650

                 World Total           46,403.00           100.00            6,133              8,660

              Note: The PPP conversion factors used here are from the World Bank’s World Development Report, 2003, and are derived from the most recent
              round of price surveys conducted by the International Comparison Program, a joint project of the World Bank and the regional economic commis-
              sions of the United Nations.
              Source: World Bank, World Development Report, 2003.











                                     Business Cycles
        business cycles The up- and  The up- and downswings in real GNI, GNP, or GDP levels over time are called busi-
        downswings in real GNI, GNP, or GDP  ness cycles. These swings in real national output are not uniform or timely, and
        levels over time
                                     often they are erratic. The long economic boom of the 1990s in the United States
                                     made some people think that the business cycle was dead, but the collapse of the
                                     dotcom and tech companies in 2001 and 2002 proved otherwise. Business cycles
                                     are a regular feature of the capitalist system, but over the long run, real output
                                     always tends to show a steady increase. During the upswing, or expansion phase,
                                     output, employment, and investment all tend to rise, indicating a period of pros-
                                     perity. Inflation, especially in the later stages of an economic upswing, tends to
                                     accelerate before the economy peaks (firms operate at close to full capacity). The
                                     country then begins the contraction phase when output, employment, investment,
                                     and inflation begin to fall, reflecting a period of hard times. The economy must
                                     reach the bottom, or trough, before a new cycle of expansion can begin. Economists
                                     have been studying—by establishing the causal linkages among various economic
                                     activities—business cycles for a long time in order to identify turning points so that
                                     appropriate policies could be implemented to prevent the boom and bust periods
                                     and smooth out the cycles. This has not been easy, especially since the turning
                                     points are apparent only after the fact.
                                        reality      What companies in your area are involved in the export of goods or
                                      CH ECK         services?


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