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Chapter 6      Conclusions and Future Research



               6.1     Conclusions


               This  research  investigated  heavy  vehicle  crashes  and  injury  severity.  The  safety  of  heavy

               vehicles has drawn considerable attention from government agencies and the general public.

               In  general,  heavy  vehicles  have  many  unique  operating  characteristics,  such  as  poor
               acceleration and stopping capabilities, high rigidity, great mass and length, and these factors

               may  contribute  in  part  to  their  over-representation  in  traffic  fatalities  and  serious  injuries.
               Based on the existing literature, several limitations in existing heavy vehicle crash studies

               were  identified.  First,  no  research  has  been  done  on  factors  contributing  to  single  heavy-
               vehicle  collisions  at  crash  locations.  Second,  no  study  has  investigated  the  effects  of

               neighbourhood  socioeconomic  characteristics  on  traffic  crashes  involving  heavy  vehicles.

               Finally, no research has been done on factors contributing to heavy-vehicle angle crashes. To
               address the identified limitations in the literature on heavy-vehicle collisions, this study used

               statistical  models  to  develop  binary  logit,  scobit,  multinomial  logit  and  random  parameter
               (mixed logit) models. The key findings of each study are summarized in the following sub-

               sections.



               6.1.1 Single heavy-vehicle collisions at crash locations


               In  the  first  study  (Chapter  3),  a  binary  logit  model  was  developed  to  examine  factors

               contributing to single-vehicle crashes involving heavy vehicles at intersections and mid-block
               in  the  Melbourne  metropolitan  area.  This  research  has  provided  an  understanding  of

               characteristics influencing single heavy-vehicle crashes at intersections and mid-block. Based
               on the binary model estimation, differences were identified in single heavy-vehicle crashes at

               intersections and midblocks. These differences in the factors contributing to single heavy-
               vehicle crashes at intersections and mid-block are summarised below:



                          Crashes  at  intersections  are  more  likely  to  be  associated  with  turning  vehicle
                           movements  prior  to  the  crash  (turning  right  and  turning  left),  crashes  on

                           freeways or highways and main roads, and involving angle and overturn crashes.

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