Page 102 - tmp_Neat
P. 102

The study has identified the socioeconomic characteristics of  neighbourhoods where road

               users  live  and  where    crashes  occur  on  road-user  injury  severity  involving  heavy  vehicle

               crashes.  To  enhance  heavy-vehicle  safety,  it  is  important  to  emphasise  that  these
               neighbourhood  socio-demographic  characteristics  should  be  used  in  addition  to  the

               information provided by the standard collision hotspot analysis.


               6.1.3 Heavy-vehicle angle collisions



               On the other hand, study three (Chapter 5) examined factors contributing to occupant injury
               severity  experienced  in  angle  collisions  involving  heavy  vehicles  using  binary,  scobit

               (skewed logistic) and random parameter logit models . This study provides an understanding

               of  factors  contributing  to  heavy-vehicle  angle  crashes.  In  addition,  in  this  study,  some
               advanced crash severity models such as binary logit, skewed logistic and random parameter

               logit models were compared to determine the advantages and weaknesses of these models.
               The  key  findings  of  factors  contributing  to  heavy-vehicle  angle  crashes  and  the  statistical

               model comparisons are summarised below:


                          Severe injury in occupants is more likely to relate to females,  younger people

                           and older adults, occupants not wearing safety restraints and being ejected from
                           the  vehicle,  lone  drivers,  occupants  in  vehicles  which  experienced  major  and

                           extensive damage, vehicles that catch fire, motorcycles and vehicles impacted on

                           the  right  front  door  area,  and  occupants  in  crashes  at  night,  crashes  on  high-
                           speed roads and crashes that attended by police.


                          In terms of the models' goodness-of-fit, the Scobit model fits the data better than

                           the standard binary logit and random parameter logit models. This finding was
                           partially  to  be  expected,  due  to  the  possible  violation  of  the  symmetry

                           assumption due to the imbalance in the dependent variable. In addition, uniform

                           distribution  was  slightly  better  than  a  normal  distribution  in  the  random
                           parameter logit model.





                                                           82
   97   98   99   100   101   102   103   104   105   106   107