Page 22 - tmp_Neat
P. 22

involving heavy vehicles. Milton et al. (2008) developed a mixed logit model with severity

               function, Y, which determines the severity injury outcome i for observation n . See Equation
               2.6.



                                                                                                       (2.6)




               where,

                   = is a linear function for determining the injury severity category i to occupants n,

                    = a vector of estimated coefficients,

                 = a vector of explanatory variables,

                  = is an error term.


               Then, if    is assumed to be an extreme value distribution, the standard multinomial logit

               model will be as Equation 2.5. In order to allow parameter (  ) to vary across observations, a

               mixing distribution is introduced in the random parameter logit model (Train, 2003) and the
               resulting injury severity probabilities are given as:



                   ∫       [         ]   (  | )                                                         (2.7)



                       ∑    [           ]

                       (  | ) is  the  density  function  of  β,  and   refers  to  a  vector  of  parameters  of  the

               density function (mean and variance) and other terms are as previously defined. The mixed

               logit model is as defined in Equation 2.7. In the mixed logit model estimation, β accounts for
               the  effect  of  observation-specific  variations  of   on  injury  severity  probabilities,  with  the

               density functions  (  | ) used to determine β.



               The  random  parameter  model  uses  a  weighted  average  for  different  values  of  β  across

               observations, where some elements  of the parameter vector  β  may  be  fixed  and some  are
               randomly distributed. If any parameter is found to be random, then the mixed logit weight is

               determined by the density function. For the functional form of the density function, numerous
               distributions have been considered, including normal, uniform and lognormal.  Mixed logit

               models are usually estimated using the simulation of maximum likelihood with Halton draws
               (Train 1999; Bhat 2003).



                                                           11
   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   24   25   26   27