Page 9 - AMANGO 2017 CASE STUDY 2
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               The other half of the Board, led by the Group CEO and CFO who were against the dividend freeze

               policy from inception, believe that although the share price had recovered from its 2016 collapse, the
               group was still not  correctly  valued  by  the  markets,  principally  because  of  the policy  to  suspend
               dividends in 2016, and alter it from the constant growth of at least 6% that it had pursued to then, to
               the pay-out ratio it had adopted. They are therefore, arguing for a return to the old policy, to help
               deliver better shareholder value. With improving commodity prices, they argued, should other mining
               giants  continue  growing  their  dividends,  AMANGO’s  share  price  could remain  undervalued  by  as
               much as 38%. As the meeting concluded, the Board chair summarized that, whilst the full board was

               unanimous in growing shareholder value, there was an even split as to the best dividend policy to
               achieve that!

               In the time being, the Strategic Joint Venture Decision in Canada has now been resolved, it promises to
               be far more lucrative than initially thought; and  AMANGO is  looking to invest  US$1,600m into Quinta.

               Until it restores its rating to investment grade and resolves the dividend question, it is unlikely to be able
               to raise  capital via additional debt  or equity;  so, it plans  to raise the finance  from a combination  of
               US$110million  sale  (to  Sibanye  Gold)  of  its  equity  investment  in  one  of  its  wholly-owned  mining
               operations in South Africa, and the balance US$1490m from its operating cash flows -in the coming two
               years.  As a result,  AMANGO’s  current capital structure of  US$772 million $0.25  equity shares  and
               ‘medium and long-term borrowings’ of U$11,363m is not expected to change in the foreseeable future.

               Although its target of bringing down its long-term debt from US$16,318m to US$10,000m had not been
               met, the Board felt the resurgence  in commodity  prices and  the resulting  share price  bounce had
               significantly improved its market value gearing; so, it was comfortable to maintain its book value gearing
               at the current levels for the next 2 years.

               The CharterQuest Institute has compiled the following pertinent data to assist the Board:

               1.  Expected income and cash flow commitments to end of 2018 -before investment in Canada:
                   1.1 Sales revenue was and is still forecast to grow by 9%, of which 25% constitutes EBITDA;

                   1.2 0.5% of sales revenue is always set aside as investment in working capital; and
                   1.3 The group continues to focus on capital discipline and stay-in-business capital efficiency, while
                       maintaining the operational integrity of all assets. A sustainable level of capital expenditure for the
                       current portfolio of assets, excluding growth projects, is approximately US$2,500m per year.
                   1.4 AMANGO’s share of net income/(loss) from associates and JVs is expected to rise to US$2514 if
                       the investment into Quinta is made; and
                   1.5 The total dividends paid from end of 2018 will be the remaining cash flows after the US$1,600m

                       investment in Canada is made, growing by 6% into the foreseeable future.

                                            Synergy and Corporate Acquisition


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