Page 51 - BA2 Integrated Workbook - Student 2017
P. 51

Analysing and predicting costs




               5.2   Correlation coefficient

               Pearson’s correlation coefficient, denoted r, is defined as:

                                   n∑xy – (∑x)(∑y)
               r =   ——————————————
                        √( n∑x – (∑x) )(n∑y  –(∑y) )
                                                     2
                                             2
                                      2
                              2
               r always lies in the range –1 to +1, where:
               r = +1 denotes perfect positive linear correlation

               r =  –1 denotes perfect negative linear correlation

               r = 0 denotes no linear correlation

               Going back to the regression analysis example, we can calculate the correlation
                                                               2
               coefficient. Add in a further column showing y .
                                  Activity level     Cost
                                                                      2
                                        x              y            x              xy             y
                                                                                                    2
               Quarter 1               10             38.3         100           383          1,466.89
               Quarter 2               12             42.7         144           512.4        1,823.29
               Quarter 3                 9            35.7          81           321.3        1,274.49
               Quarter 4               14             47.2         196           660.8        2,227.84
                                     ––––            ––––         ––––          ––––––         –––––––
                                       45           163.9          521         1,877.5        6,792.51
                                     ––––            ––––         ––––          ––––––         –––––––


                                   (4 × 1,877.5) – (45 × 163.9)           134.5
                r =   ——————————————————— =   ——– = 1
                                         2
                                                                  2
                       √ [(4 × 521) − 45 ][(4 × 6,792.51) – 163.9 )]      134.5
               This suggests perfect positive correlation.






               TYU 5















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