Page 50 - FINAL CFA II SLIDES JUNE 2019 DAY 3
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READING 9: TIME SERIES ANALYSIS





















                                                                                                         What if the current capacity
                                                                                                              utilization was 95?













                          0?           The level of manufacturing capacity utilization for the next period (Xt+1) is expected to fall
                          0
                                       below the current level (Xt), obviously heading towards MRT.  Goes without saying for below 67.16?
         95         67.16





        Note: All covariance stationary time series have a finite MRL. For this, the lag coefficient, |b | < 1. That finite MRL is
                                                                                                          1
        basically the intercept!
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