Page 209 - Microsoft Word - 00 ACCA F2 Prelims.docx
P. 209

Statistical techniques




               5.5 Additive model






               Month          Actual Sales                Trend               Seasonal variation

               Jan                 74

               Feb               100                         89                          11
               Mar                 93                        93                           0
               Apr                 86                        97                         –11

               May               112                       101                           11
               Jun               105                       105                            0

               Jul                 98                      109                          –11
               Aug               124                       113                           11

               Sept              117                       117                            0
               Oct               110                       121                          –11

               Nov               136                       125                           11
               Dec               129

               Extrapolate trend and then apply the appropriate variation







































                                                                                                      203
   204   205   206   207   208   209   210   211   212   213   214