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Chapter 14




               3.3  Uneven annual cash flows

               If cash flows are uneven (a more likely state of affairs), the payback has to be
               calculated by working out the cumulative cash flow over the life of a project.


                             Company X has a policy of only accepting projects that give a pay back
                             of four years or less.  A machine is available for purchase at a cost of
                             £150,000. We expect it to have a life of five years and to have a scrap
                             value of £20,000 at the end of the five-year period.

               We have estimated that it will generate net cash flows over its life as follows:

                              £000

               1st year         40
               2nd year         75

               3rd year         60
               4th year         30

               5th year         10
               Step 1 – set up a table with columns for year, cash flow, and cumulative balance.


                Year        Cash flow          Cumulative cash
                               £000               flow £000

                  0
                  1

                  2
                  3

                  4
                  5
               Step 2 – put in the figures and calculate the cumulative balance until we get a
               positive figure (have paid back the investment).


                Year        Cash flow          Cumulative cash
                               £000               flow £000

                  0            (150)                 (150)
                  1             40                   (110)

                  2             75                   (35)
                  3             60                    25

                  4             30
                  5             30



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