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Chapter 15









                  Example 4





                   A company is choosing which of three new products to make A, B or C It has
                   calculated likely pay-offs under three possible scenarios (I, II or III), giving the
                   following pay-off table:

                   Profit (loss)                                Product chosen

                   Scenario                            A                B                C
                   I                                    20                80               10

                   II                                   40                70             100
                   III                                  50               (10)              40

                   Using maximin, which product would be chosen?

                   Using maximin, a pessimist would consider the poorest possible outcome for
                   each product and would ensure that the maximum pay-off is achieved if the
                   worst result were to happen.

                   Therefore, product A would be chosen resulting in a minimum payoff of 20
                   compared to a minimum payoff of 10 for products and C.





































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