Page 326 - Microsoft Word - 00 Prelims.docx
P. 326
Chapter 15
Example 4
A company is choosing which of three new products to make A, B or C It has
calculated likely pay-offs under three possible scenarios (I, II or III), giving the
following pay-off table:
Profit (loss) Product chosen
Scenario A B C
I 20 80 10
II 40 70 100
III 50 (10) 40
Using maximin, which product would be chosen?
Using maximin, a pessimist would consider the poorest possible outcome for
each product and would ensure that the maximum pay-off is achieved if the
worst result were to happen.
Therefore, product A would be chosen resulting in a minimum payoff of 20
compared to a minimum payoff of 10 for products and C.
320