Page 50 - CONSTRUCTION VISION July August 2017 issue
P. 50

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                INDIA`S PROPERTY MARKET IS POISED FOR STRONG GROWTH




                                                               ith a young workforce and   The projected growth in real estate for
                                                               an improving economy,   India could offer similar opportunities
                                                      WIndia's real-estate market      in a variety of related industries such
                                                      looks set for significant growth. Could   as cement, paint and housing finance.
                                                      it match China's development boom?
                                                      India's young work force, which is   The China Parallel
                                                      nearing home-buying age and stands
                                                      to benefit from the country's economic   India's brightening economic future is
                                                      expansion, is expected to significantly   critical to the country's projected
            ‘ ‘  India`s property Market              The confluence of factors, including a   and sustain real gross domestic
                                                      drive the real-estate market over the
                                                                                       property sector surge. “If India can
                                                                                       maintain its political and social stability
                                                      next 10 years.
                                                      projected sharp increase in the
                                                                                       product growth of 6.5%-7.5% over the
                 sales are expected to
                                                                                       next few years, it should generate
                                                      country's per capita income, further
                                                                                       strong employment and income
                                                      urbanization and a firmer federal hand
                 grow at a 14% compound
                                                      on regulations, could push annual
                                                                                       growth, both of which could drive
                                                                                       property sector demand,” says
                                                      property market sales, which were
                 annual rate from 2016-20
                                                                                       property industry for Morgan Stanley.
                                                      2025, according to a recent Morgan
                                                                                       India's property market sales are
                                                      Stanley Research report.
                 and 18% from 2020-25          ‘ ‘    $105 billion in 2015, to $462 billion by   Sameer Baisiwala, who covers India's
                                                                                       expected to grow at a 14% compound
                                                                                       annual rate from 2016-20 and 18%
                                                      Even more tantalizing are the
                                                                                       from 2020-25, according to Morgan
                                                      similarities to the rapid housing and
                                                                                       Stanley's analysis. This is comparable
                                                      construction development of India's
                                                                                       to China's 22% compound annual
                                                      neighbor to the north, China. Indeed,
                                                                                       growth rate from 2004-15.
                                                      China's property boom of the past 15
                                                                                       Other macroeconomic parallels
                                                      years may provide a glimpse into
                                                                                       abound. “To us, the macro construct of
                                                      India's potential growth in the next
                                                                                       China in 2000-04 and India in 2015
                                                      decade, with a construction boom and
                                                                                       appear quite comparable in terms of
                                                      increase in homeownership that has
                                                                                       size of the economy, affordability,
                                                      affected social and economic trends.
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