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South African Pavement Engineering Manual
                                              Chapter 10:  Pavement Design

              3.5.4 Materials

              Structural layers are designed to resist the high stress conditions imposed by external loads and to provide sufficient
              protection of the pavement foundation during the structural design period.  Material of appropriate quality therefore
              needs to be sourced for the imported subgrade and structural pavement layers.  Chapters 6, 8 and 9, and TRH3,
              TRH14 and TG2 provide detailed information on the behaviour of specific material types.  The use of a materials
              checklist indicating the availability and cost of materials in the vicinity of the project is recommended.

              3.6  Variability in Traffic Loading, Material Properties and Construction
              A specific pavement design is based on certain estimates of the traffic loading that will be applied during its life,
              properties of the material it will be constructed from and subgrade strength it will be constructed on.  It follows that
              the pavement design input parameters are not precisely known, and that a range of values exists for each of these
              parameters.  In addition, variability is built into the pavement during construction because material in quarries and
              borrow pits vary spatially and with depth; testing is not sufficiently detailed to identify areas with poorer materials;
              and, material selection is by visual inspection.  Furthermore, compaction moisture content and compaction effort vary
              from one construction section to  the next,  resulting in  a  variance in layer  density and,  therefore,  strength.  The
              constructed layer thickness can vary up to a maximum of 27 mm from the design thickness and still be within
              specification.  In such cases where the input parameters are variable and construction techniques result in further
              variability in the material properties, it is often better to determine the probability of a certain outcome rather than
              try to predict the exact outcome.  Confidence limits are, therefore, frequently used in pavement engineering to take
              variability in materials strength parameters into account.  The confidence limits are further coupled to a specific level
              of service.  The following are used in TRH4:
              •  95% confidence limit for Category A roads
              •  90% confidence limit for Category B roads
              •  80% confidence limit for Category C roads

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              The confidence limits imply that, for example, for the design of Category A roads, the 5  percentile values of the
              material  strength  parameters  are  used  in  the  design.    It  also  implies  that  for  a  Category  A  road,  there  is  a  5%
              probability that the pavement will not be able to carry the traffic it was designed for, or that 5% of the pavement
              area will fail before the design traffic has been carried.

              Monte Carlo simulation is a method for taking variability in material strength parameters into account in pavement
              design.  The loading capacity of a  pavement is calculated for material strength  parameters that are randomly
              selected from a statistical distribution of each strength parameter.  This process is repeated for a large number of
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              iterations and results in a distribution of loading capacities.  The 5 , 10  or 20  percentile loading capacity for the
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              pavement  corresponding  to  Category  A,  B  and  C  respectively  can  be  determined  from  this  distribution.    The  5
              percentile loading capacity indicates, for example, that there is a 95% probability that the pavement will be able to
              carry this load.

              The variability in traffic and construction is typically not currently taken into account in the design of pavements.  It
              appears that current construction quality control methods are insufficient to reduce variability caused by construction
              to  an  acceptable  level.    This  is  a  shortcoming,  as  premature  pavement  failures  are  often  related  to  variability  in
              material strength and layer thicknesses introduced during construction.

              3.7  Environmental Considerations
              The environment in which the pavement is situated may be divided into:
              •  Traffic environment
              •  Natural (geological and meteorological) environment
              •  Population (rural or urban) environment

              The  traffic  environment  is  the  primary  demand  for  which  the  pavement  is  designed.    However,  the  natural  and
              population environments also affect pavement behaviour and performance, and must therefore be considered during
              pavement design.  The effect of environmental conditions on pavement performance is particularly important for light
              pavement structures.

              The differences between rural and urban  environments usually do not have a significant impact on the structural
              design of the pavement, but impact on the selection and design of the surfacing layer and drainage.  Surfacing layer
              selection and design is a specialised activity, for which the following documents provide guidance:
              •  TRH3:  Design and Construction of Surfacing Seals

                                               Section 3:  Design Considerations
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