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South African Pavement Engineering Manual
                                              Chapter 10:  Pavement Design

              Table 26.  Typical Future Maintenance Actions for Life Cycle Cost Analysis of Flexible
                         Pavements
              Base Type                Surface Maintenance                   Structural Rehabilitation
                              Surface Treatment    Asphalt Original   Moderate Distress   Severe Distress
                              Original Surfacing      Surfacing
              Granular           S1 @ 9 years        S1 @ 9 years    30 – 40 mm AC/BRAC     > 100 mm BC
                                 S1 @ 18 years      S1 @ 18 years                                or
                                                         or                               Granular/concrete
                                                 40 mm AG @ 11 years                           overlay
                                                 40 mm AG @ 22 years                             or
                                                                                              Recycling
              Hot mix asphalt    S1 @ 10 years      S1 @ 11 years    30 – 40 mm AC/BRAC  > 100 mm BC/concrete
                                 S1 @ 20 years      S1 @ 21 years                                or
                                                         or                                   Recycling
                                                 40 mm AG @ 11 years
                                                 40 mm AG @ 22 years
              Cemented           S1 @ 5 years        S1 @ 5 years       Further surface   Thick granular/concrete
                                 S1 @ 10 years      S1 @ 10 years         treatments           overlay
                                 S1 @ 15 years      S1 @ 15 years                                or
                                 S1 @ 20 years      S1 @ 20 years                             Recycling
              Concrete            Re-grooving                        30 – 40 mm AC/BRAC       Concrete
                                  @ 25 years
              Notes:
              AC is continuously graded hot mix asphalt
              BC is hot mix asphalt base
              BRAC is bitumen rubber asphalt
              S1 is a single surface treatment

              (i)   TRH12
              TRH12 introduces uncertainty in the economic assessment by using  decision trees and  Bayesian theory to assess
              various probable outcomes, within the present worth of cost method.  This procedure allows for the incorporation of
              personal experience in the formal analysis procedure.  Refer to TRH12 for more detail.

              (ii)   Highway Development and Management System (HDM)
              The Highway Design and Maintenance Standards Model (HDM-III), developed by the World Bank, has been used for
              over  two  decades  to  combine  technical  and  economic  appraisals  of  road  projects,  to  prepare  road  investment
              programmes and to analyse road network strategies.

              The International Study of Highway Development and Management (ISOHDM, 2004) was carried out to extend the
              scope of the HDM-III model, and to provide a harmonised systems approach to road management, with adaptable
              and user-friendly software tools.  This produced the Highway Development and Management Tool (HDM-4), which is
              also  used  for  the  economic  assessment  of  road  projects.    The  scope  of  HDM-4  goes  beyond  traditional  project
              appraisals and provides a powerful system for the analysis of road management and investment alternatives.  The
              HDM-4 analytical framework is based on pavement life cycle analysis, over typically 15 to 40 years, to predict the
              following over the life cycle of a road pavement:
              •  Road deterioration
              •  Road work effects
              •  Road user effects
              •  Socio-economic and environmental effects

              Once constructed, road pavements deteriorate as a consequence of several factors, most notably:
              •  Traffic loading
              •  Environmental weathering
              •  Effects of inadequate drainage systems

              The rate of pavement deterioration, and overall long-term condition, is directly affected by the maintenance applied
              to repair defects on the pavement surface.  When a maintenance standard is defined, it imposes a limit to the level



                                       Section 5:  Pavement Investigation and Design Process
                                                         Page 68
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