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South African Pavement Engineering Manual
                                              Chapter 10:  Pavement Design


              6.   STRUCTURAL CAPACITY ESTIMATION
              The purpose of structural  pavement  design methods are  to provide a method for the unbiased  estimate  of the
              structural capacity of alternative design options,  with the  aim  of selecting the most  economical option and  that
              ensures the traffic demand will be met.

              Structural  design  methods  vary  greatly  in  the  amount  of  detail  required  and  the  level  of  analysis  involved.    The
              methods are generally:
              •  Empirical methods, based on observations of the performance of pavements.
              •  Mechanistic-empirical  (ME)  methods,  which  analyse the pavement  as  a mechanism,  and link  mechanistic
                 parameters to the structural capacity through empirical observations of performance.
              •  Catalogues with standard designs for general conditions.  These are developed either empirically or using ME
                 methods, or a combination of both.

              The next three sections, Sections 7, 8 and 9, include the common empirical
              and  mechanistic-empirical  design  methods  for  flexible,  rigid  and  block   Design Catalogues
              pavements.  Section  6.1  gives some general comments on Mechanistic-  These catalogues available in
              Empirical Design Methods.                                        TRH4 (1996) are “tried and
                                                                               tested”, and should be used to
              TRH4  contains  catalogues  of  pavements  for  different  combinations  of   benchmark any pavement
              pavement  type,  road  category  and  design  structural  capacity  for  flexible   design.
              pavements.    The  flexible  pavement  designs  are  all  based  on  the  South
              African Mechanistic-Empirical Design Method of 1995 (Theyse et al, 1995 and
              Theyse  et  al  1996).    These  catalogues  are  “tried  and  tested”,  and  should  be  used  to  benchmark  any  pavement
              design.   The M10 manual (1995) contains some catalogues for rigid pavements.  UTG (1982) contains catalogues for
              block pavements.

              It is  important to keep in mind that there is no single  structural capacity value associated with a pavement, but
              rather a range of appropriate values.   This is  because of the variation in all the  variables used to  determine the
              structural  capacity,  resulting  in  a  distribution  in  the  structural  capacity  assessment.    In  addition,  all  assessment
              methods  are  estimates, and  no one method provides  an  absolute prediction.   The  structural capacity estimate is
              therefore a single point estimate taken from a possible distribution of values and most often reflects the average
              value.  The use of stochastic simulation techniques to estimate a structural capacity distribution, such as the Monte
              Carlo simulation technique, is useful.  An example of the use of such a method is given in Jooste (1997).

              6.1  General Comments on Mechanistic-Empirical Design Methods

              Classical mechanistic-empirical (ME) methods have been used for many years.  Many aspects of this type of analysis
              are common to all ME  methods and to rigid, flexible  and block pavements.  Some general comments on these
              methods are discussed here, with details on specific methods given in Sections 7.1 for flexible pavements, 8.2 for
              rigid pavements, and 9.4 for block pavements.

              Mechanistic-empirical  methods  analyse  the  pavement  as  a  mechanism  by  assuming  a  material  model  for  the
              pavement type (see Chapter 2: 3 and 4.2) and calculates engineering parameters such as stresses and strains.  The
              engineering parameters are then linked to the structural capacity of the pavement through observations of
              performance.    These  methods  follow  a  logical  structure  and  adhere  to  the  laws  of  solid  mechanics,  but  have
              absolutely no “intelligence” incorporated in the design method.  Therefore, although the design method enables the
              design  engineer to  develop  a pavement design with sufficient structural capacity, it may not necessarily  be the
              optimal design.  The “intelligence” in the system  is  provided by experience and sound engineering practice.
              Fortunately,  much  of  the  sound  engineering  practice  in  South  Africa  has  been  captured  in  national  and  industry
              guideline documents.

              Figure 30 shows the typical components of a classical mechanistic-
              empirical design method.
                                                                           ME Methods
                                                                        Although ME design methods enable a
                                                                        pavement design with sufficient structural
                                                                        capacity, it may not necessarily be the
                                                                        optimal design.  The “intelligence” in
                                                                        the system is provided by experience
                                                                        and sound engineering practice.

                                            Section 6:  Structural Capacity Estimation
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