Page 398 - Arabia the Gulf and the West
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The ‘Sting*                                         395


           of financial aid. At the meeting the use of Saudi Arabia’s oil to bring pressure to
           bear upon the United States, should the need arise, was also discussed, with

           what definite result is not known for certain. From the subsequent actions of
           the Saudi government, however, and from Faisal’s own conversations with the
           heads of ARAMCO in May, it is logical to infer, at the very least, that Faisal
           did not reject the idea of a resort to this expedient. At the end of August he was
           visited by the ruler of Kuwait, Sabah ibn Salim Al Sabah, who afterwards went
           on to Cairo to see Sadat. Before he left Cairo Shaikh Sabah indicated his
           willingness to throw Kuwait’s oil into the balance in the forthcoming battle

           with Israel.
              For all these furtive comings and goings, clandestine preparations and
           surreptitious undertakings, what was still uppermost in the calculations of the
           governments of the Arab oil states in the early autumn of 1973 was substantial
           price increases. The financial cutting edge of the oil weapon was as vital to its
           effectiveness as the imposition of restrictions upon production. Principle and
           profit, they reckoned, could be combined in harmonious union: oil production

           would be reduced to persuade the Western powers to turn against Israel; and
           prices could be increased to compensate for any loss of revenue from reduced
           output - and at the same time provide the funds with which to exert further
           economic pressure upon the industrial nations. It was an enchanting prospect
           and the auguries all seemed favourable.



           The Yom Kippur war broke out on 6 October and two days later the Gulf
           members of OPEC met the representatives of the oil companies at Vienna. The
           first move against the companies had already been made on 7 October when
            Iraq had nationalized the shareholding of Esso and Mobil in the Basra
           Petroleum Company-a move which was, in a legal sense, nugatory, since B PC
            was a British company. At Vienna the delegates of the six Gulf oil states, led by
            Yamani and Amuzegar, demanded an immediate increase in the government

            lax rate which would have been equivalent to doubling the posted price of Gulf
            oil from around $3 to $6 a barrel. The oil companies’ representatives, still
            negotiating as one under business review letters from the United States
            Department of Justice, were empowered to offer no more than a 25 per cent
            increase in the posted price. Yamani and Amuzegar came down to $5 a barrel,
            which the companies’ chief negotiators, Piercy of Esso and Andre Benard of
            Shell, passed on to their boards in New York and London. The companies as a

            whole were appalled by the financial implications of such a huge increase,
            implications which, they believed, were potentially so momentous that they
            could not by themselves take the responsibility for reaching a decision. Such a
            decision could only be made in consultation with the governments of the
            industrial nations, and Piercy and Benard were instructed to reply in this sense
            to the OPEC delegates. The two negotiators conveyed the message to Yamani
            on the night of 10 October. It was, for all practical purposes, the end of the
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