Page 7 - Module 6 Costly mistakes
P. 7

Module 6 – How to avoid costly trading mistakes


                      trades and have a mindset that, seeing that their equity is already down, losing a bit more won’t be
                      such a big deal.  On the contrary, taking losses early can improve your trading system.

               7.      adding to a position as a money management tool

                      Adding to a losing trade
                      This is bad methodology and should be avoided in 99% of all situations.  Whereas on paper it may
                      seem like the logical solution, the reality is that it destroys emotional capital and wipe out entire
                      trading accounts.  Adding to a losing trade does not really improve the situation as the trader now
                      has 2 positions which have to move much further to reach Take Profit level.

                      Adding to a winning trade
                      Opening a new position with the same Stop Loss and Take Profit order as the initial position, after
                                                      prices has moved into your favour reduces the expectancy of
                                                      the  trade.    The  Reward  Risk:  Ratio  of  the  second  trade  is
                        Adding to a winner reduces the   smaller compared to the first one.
                        overall Reward:Risk Ratio and the
                        expectancy.                   Scaling into a winning trade can be a good strategy if it is done
                                                      with  care  and  forward  planning.    Traders  who  add  to  an
                                                      already profitable trade can end up with a loss much faster
                      because price must reverse only a little bit to wipe out their profits.

               8.      the magical combination

                      The  Reward:Risk  Ratio  measures  the  distance
                      from your entry to your Stop Loss and your Take   The reward of a trade is always uncertain
                      Profit order and then compares the two distances.   and potential.  The risk is the only thing
                      When you know the  Reward:Risk Ratio for your   you can control about your trade.
                      trade,  you  can  easily  calculate  the  required
                      Winrate (see formula below). You can quickly see
                                                                       whether  the  Reward:Risk  Ratio  is  large
                                                                       enough  for  your  historical  Winrate  or  if
                                                                       you  should  skip  that  trade  when  the
                                     General Formulas                  Reward:Risk Ratio is too small.

                            Minimum Winrate = 1/(1+Reward:Risk)        Example 1:
                                                                       If  you  enter  a  trade  with  a  1:1
                                             Or                        Reward:Risk Ratio, your overall Winrate
                                                                       must be higher than 50% to be a profitable

                          Required Reward:Risk Ratio = (1/Winrate) - 1   trader:
                                                                       1 / (1+1) = 0.5 = 50%

                                                                       Example 2:
                      If your system has a historical Winrate of 60%, you need a Reward:Risk Ratio of  0.6 : 1 to achieve
                      a long-term expectancy:
                      (1 / 0.6) – 1 = 0.7














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