Page 49 - The World About Us
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Manado kids
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                                                                                                     2.2.3






          How is Indonesia’s population changing?


                                                                                  Natural increase
                                                                                                    Child mortality~
             Indonesia is the fourth most   fig.132 Indonesia’s
                                                                                           Fer lity rate*
                                                              years at birth
           populous country on Earth. Its   changing
           popula on was es mated to be       popula on.  Life expectancy       births per 1000      deaths per 1000     % annual growth      children/woman      deaths per 1000
           263 million in 2017. In 1955 the                     Birth rate  Death rate
           popula on was less than one third of   Year
           today's figure at 77.5 million. Around   1955  44     43       25     1.8%      5.5     192    * fer lity rate
           58% of the total popula on live on                                                            records the mean
                                                                                                         number of children
           one island, Java, of which 20 million   1975  56     38       13     2.5%      5.3      99    born per mother.
           live around the capital Jakarta.  1995      65       24       8      1.6%      2.9      49    ~ child mortality
                                                                                                         records the number
             As can be seen from figure 132,   2015     73       16       6      1.0%      2.1      23    of deaths of children
           both Indonesia's birth and death                                                              before the age of 5.
           rates have been falling steadily for
           over 60 years. However, the death   Indonesia’s growing population                At current growth rates,
           rate has been falling more quickly as                                          Indonesia is set to become the
           a result of improvements in general   300                                      world’s third largest popula on
           health, reduced child mortality and   250                                      (a er China and India) in the
           rising life expectancy.                                                        2040s, overtaking the USA.
             Indonesia has a very youthful      200                                          The total fer lity rate is
           popula on with 25% of the                                                      falling, although more rapidly
           popula on under the age of 15. This   Indonesia’s total popula on (millions)  150  in the growing ci es than in
           is likely to con nue into the                                                  rural areas, as Indonesians
           foreseeable future as young couples   100                                      choose to have smaller
           start their own families. This will lead                                       families. It is this decline in
           to a rising total popula on. Eventually   50                                   child mortality, on top of rising
           this growth will begin to level out.   0                                       life expectancy, that is
           The fer lity rate in Indonesia is 2.13,   1950  1960  1970  1980  1990  2000  2010  2020  2030  contribu ng most to
           a figure very similar to France.  fig.133                                        Indonesia’s popula on growth.


                                               fig.134 Indonesia’s fer lity rates by region.  Falling fertility rates
                                                                                      The two regions with the lowest
                                                                                   fer lity rates are centred around the
                                                                                   rapidly expanding capital, Jakarta and
                                                                                   the southern Javan city of Yogyakarta.
                                                                                      Yogyakarta is a centre of economic
               1.5 - 2
                                                                                   growth, drawing in new workers every
               2 - 2.5
                                                                                   year from the countryside. It also has
               2.5 - 3
                                                                                   ten universi es, a rac ng students from
               3.5 - 4                                                             across the country. Yogyakarta has a
               4 - 4.5 Total Fertility Rate (live births per woman)                ‘very high’ HDI of 0.837.
                                             Under Dutch colonial rule poor Javanese
           Transmigration                  farmers were encouraged to move to work on   fig.135 Transmigra on: a tool of conquest?

                                           Dutch-owned planta ons in Sumatra. This was
           called transmigra on. Under Presidents Sukarno and Suharto the policy of transmigra on
           was expanded, se ling families from Java, Bali and Madura across the archipelago into
           new homes as far away as Sumatra, Kalimantan or West Papua. Over 20 million people we
           encouraged to move with grants and promises of land.
             While this policy reduced overcrowding in Java, it created tensions in the des na on
           islands. Transmigrants were used as part of the occupa on of East Timor, a er the
           Indonesian invasion of 1974. Today, Javanese migrants outnumber the indigenous ethnic
           popula on in West Papua, fuelling conflict and separa st movements. Transmigra on in
           West Papua has been described by human rights ac vists as a “slow mo on genocide”.
             The transmigra on policy was ended by president Widodo in 2015.


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                                                               Many factors contribute to a country’s economic development.
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