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AfrOil                                       COMMENTARY                                                AfrOil


                         This request drew a positive response, at least   the possibility of withdrawing from GNPOC. It
                         initially. However, GNPOC’s shareholders say   reportedly informed officials in Khartoum of its
                         they have never been paid for their oil. Accord-  position shortly after the country’s previous gov-
                         ing to the sources inside the Indian company,   ernment, headed by Ali Bashir, stepped down.
                         OVL’s share of overdue payments for this crude
                         now amounts to nearly $431mn.        Impact on local fuel sector
                                                              Now it appears that OVL has definitely decided
                         Overdue payments                     in favour of withdrawal.
                         Additionally, the sources say, Khartoum owes   The company has not officially confirmed   “
                         OVL another $99mn. This sum, they explained   reports to this effect, but its representatives –   GNPOC’s
                         last week, represents the Indian firm’s outstand-  including some high-ranking managers – have
                         ing share of the cost of building the 741-km sec-  told the Indian press that this move is in the  shareholders say
                         tion of a pipeline from Khartoum to Port Sudan.  works.
                           Sudanese authorities had originally pledged   If so, the exit appears to be justified – and not  they have never
                         to provide OVL with a total of $254mn as com-  just because the Sudanese government is not   been paid for
                         pensation for 90% of project costs and rental   meeting its financial commitments. GNPOC is
                         fees.                                also a relatively minor asset. As of mid-Septem-  their oil
                           They said in 2005 that they would make up   ber, the consortium was only producing about
                         that sum by 18 payments of $14.135mn each,   28,000 barrels per day (bpd) of oil from Block
                         with the first payment to be submitted on   2A. It was also extracting no oil whatsoever from
                         December 30 of that year, and subsequent pay-  Block 4, which has yet to move past the explora-
                         ments to be made every six months.   tion phase.
                           According to OVL, Khartoum only made 11   Under current market conditions, this small
                         of the 18 promised payments, with the last com-  amount of oil hardly seems to be worth the
                         ing near the end of 2010. Since then, it has not   trouble.
                         turned in the remaining seven payments, which   Certainly, OVL’s partners appear to have
                         were supposed to total $98.94mn – that is, the   reached the same conclusion. Indian news
                         $99mn sum mentioned above.           agencies reported last week that the other for-
                           Additionally, it said in late 2016 that it would   eign shareholders in GNPOC – China National
                         not grant GNPOC’s request for an extension of   Petroleum Corp. (CNPC), the operator, with
                         the contract for Block 2B. As a result, the acreage   40%, and Petronas (Malaysia), with 30% – were
                         under the consortium’s control shrank.  also quitting the project. (Presumably state-
                           At first, the Indian firm hoped that making its   owned Sudapet will hold on to its 5% stake.)
                         case through diplomatic pressure would suffice,   This is not good news for Sudan. The country
                         so it asked New Delhi to press its case with Khar-  has already experienced multiple rounds of fuel
                         toum. After this tactic failed, though, it filed an   shortages this year, and it is likely to experience
                         arbitration case against Sudanese authorities.   further supply disruptions if its refineries lose a
                         And in 2019, it started talking publicly about   source of feedstock. ™






































                                         GNPOC is now developing the Sudanese portion of the original concession (Image: USAID)
                                         GNPOC is now developing the Sudanese portion of the original concession (Image: USAID)


       Week 38   23•September•2020              www. NEWSBASE .com                                              P5
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