Page 5 - DMEA Week 09 2021
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DMEA                                         COMMENTARY                                               DMEA










































                         relieve Nigeria from fuel subsidies it’s Dangote.  producer with near-zero refining capacity,” add-
                         He has the funding, the expertise, the contacts  ing that while the Dangote unit will help address
                         and, as is quite apparent from the progress on  this, there may be shortfalls during maintenance
                         his refinery, the desire to bring about meaningful  or amid a growth in demand.
                         change.”                               “To support this, [a] licence to import any
                           With these benefits in mind, it is little surprise  product shortfalls should be assigned only to
                         that the central bank has provided NGN100bn  companies with active refining licences. Import
                         ($26mn) of funding to the refinery and the Dan-  volume to be allocated between participants
                         gote Group’s petrochemical and fertiliser plants.  based on their respective production in the
                           However, this is pocket change for a project  preceding quarter. Such import will be done
                         that has more than doubled in cost since plans  under the [direct sale-direct purchase] scheme,”
                         were first drawn up. Having previously been  he suggested.
                         quoted at $12bn, Emefiele said: “it may be close   In support of this recommendation, Sulei-
                         to $15bn-16bn at this time” because of interest.  man said that imported fuels are generally of a
                           He added: “When this project was contem-  very low quality, noting that imported petroleum
                         plated, when it was still on the drawing board  products must conform to the 50 ppm sulphur
                         about six years ago, before it started four years  Afri-5 standard.
                         ago, it was meant to be about $7.5bn.”  Given Nigeria’s miserable recent track record
                                                              in maintaining its refineries and following years
                         PIB                                  of deal announcements that have brought no
                         Given the transformative potential of the Dan-  change, not so long ago it would have been easy
                         gote project, the company has a unique opportu-  to dismiss the Dangote project as another ambi-
                         nity to use its influence to bring improvements to  tious dream. However, the company has suc-
                         Nigeria’s industry legislation.      ceeded where many others have not, and while
                           This week, the company called for a clause  the project is still to be completed and launched,
                         to be included in the long-awaited Petroleum  its traction and influence have already brought
                         Industry Bill (PIB) that allows only companies  excitement to a sector that have been in chronic
                         with an active refining licence to import petro-  decay for decades.
                         leum products, arguing that this would encour-  Meanwhile, anything it can do to ease Nige-
                         age private investment in the downstream sector.  ria’s heavy reliance on fuel marketers will go a
                           In a presentation to members of the National  long way to helping cure its Dutch disease. In
                         Assembly’s PIB joint committee, Dangote  collaboration with the growth of modular refin-
                         Group’s chief strategy officer, Aliyu Suleiman,  ing which has already begun to decentralise fuel
                         recommended a backward integration policy be  availability and lessen the influence of market-
                         applied in the downstream sector to encourage  ers, Abuja may have finally found a workable
                         investment in local refining.        downstream model, though it remains to be
                           According to Nigeria’s Punch daily, he said:  seen whether state involvement in the sector can
                         “Nigeria is exceptional in being a major oil  become a force for good.™



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