Page 12 - NorthAmOil Week 02 2021
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NorthAmOil                                    COMMENTARY                                          NorthAmOil















































                         import record monthly volumes of around  involved a different Mexican terminal – Sem-
                         8.1mn tonnes in December.            pra Energy’s Energía Costa Azul LNG – that
                           Records for imports are also helping set  will also use feedstock gas from the US, it
                         records for exports on the other side of the  appears that the idea of exporting US gas as
                         equation. The US Energy Information Admin-  LNG from Mexico is gaining traction. At least
                         istration (EIA) estimated, based on Bloomberg  one other potential LNG terminal on Mexi-
                         Finance shipping data, that US exports of LNG  co’s Pacific Coast has been under discussion
                         had set a new record in December, averaging  recently.
                         9.8bn cubic feet (278mn cubic metres) per   In the US too, there may be some movement
                         day. This followed a previous record of 9.4 bcf  on projects that are still awaiting FID. In late
                         (266 mcm) per day that US LNG exports set in  December, Texas LNG signed a 50-year lease
                         November. The EIA said US LNG exports in  agreement with the Port of Brownsville, becom-
                         December were more than three times higher  ing the third of three proposed LNG ventures  Demand for LNG
                         than the reduced export levels seen during the  to do so. Texas LNG’s founder, Vivek Chandra,
                         summer of 2020, when numerous buyers can-  described the lease agreement as an important   to be regasified
                         celled cargoes that had been scheduled for load-  step in the development of his company’s export   and used in
                         ing at US terminals.                 project.
                                                               Texas LNG says on its website that it is target-  heating and
                         Long-term bullishness                ing an FID in 2021. Other US LNG projects had
                         While current conditions are particularly good  also been aiming for an FID this year, including  power generation
                         news for LNG sellers in the short term, there are  Tellurian’s Driftwood LNG and NextDecade’s
                         signs that at least some developers are feeling  Rio Grande LNG. However, given that FIDs   is growing faster
                         more bullish about their longer-term prospects.  rely on factors including obtaining sufficient   than for any other
                         This can be illustrated by planned export pro-  customer commitments, further delays cannot
                         jects that are currently making progress, after  be ruled out.               fossil fuel.
                         many were stalled in 2020 as market conditions   That said, demand for LNG to be regasified
                         deteriorated.                        and used in heating and power generation is
                           One recent development is the approval  growing faster than for any other fossil fuel,
                         that Singapore-based LNG Alliance received  according to Bloomberg, as numerous countries
                         from the US Department of Energy (DoE) to  look for a cheap, reliable and cleaner alternative
                         export US gas to Sonora, Mexico for liquefac-  to coal. This suggests that demand growth will
                         tion and onward shipment from the proposed  be there beyond the current spike, potentially
                         Amigo LNG project. Given that the only FID  paving the way for more exporters to sign
                         on a liquefaction project to be made last year  offtake deals and reach FIDs.™



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