Page 198 - Ray Dalio - Principles
P. 198

I’ve faced in the course of my career I’ve created exactly such tools, and
                      I am convinced that I would not have been nearly as successful without
                      them. I have no doubt that in the years ahead such “machine-thinking”
                      tools will continue to develop and that smart decision makers will learn
                      how to integrate them into their thinking. I urge you to learn about them
                      and consider using them.
                      i. Know when it’s best to stop fighting and have faith in your decision-making process. It’s
                      important that you think independently and fight for what you believe
                      in, but there comes a time when it’s wiser to stop fighting for your view
                      and move on to accepting what believable others think is best. This can
                      be extremely difficult. But it’s smarter and ultimately better for you to
                      be open-minded and have faith that the consensus of believable others is
                      better  than  whatever  you  think.  If  you  can’t  understand  their  view,
                      you’re  probably  just  blind  to  their  way  of  thinking.  If  you  continue
                      doing  what  you  think  is  best  when  all  the  evidence  and  believable
                      people are against you, you’re being dangerously arrogant.

                      The truth is that while most people can become radically open-minded,
                      some  can’t,  even  after  they  have  repeatedly  encountered  lots  of  pain
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                      from  betting  that  they  were  right  when  they  were  not.   People  who
                      don’t    learn   radical    open-mindedness       don’t    experience     the
                      metamorphosis that allows them to do much better. I myself had to have
                      that humility beaten into me by my crashes, especially my big one in
                      1982.  Gaining open-mindedness doesn’t mean losing assertiveness. In
                      fact, because it increases one’s odds of being right, it should increase
                      one’s confidence. That has been true for me since my big crash, which is
                      why I’ve been able to have more success with less risk.

                         Becoming truly open-minded takes time. Like all real learning, doing
                      this is largely a matter of habit; once you do it so many times it is almost
                      instinctive,  you’ll  find  it  intolerable  to  be  any  other  way.  As  noted
                      earlier, this typically takes about eighteen months, which in the course
                      of a lifetime is nothing.



                           ARE YOU UP FOR THE CHALLENGE?



                      For  me,  there  is  really  only  one  big  choice  to  make  in  life:  Are  you
                      willing  to  fight  to  find  out  what’s  true?  Do  you  deeply  believe  that
                      finding out what is true is essential to your well-being? Do you have a
                      genuine need to find out if you or others are doing something wrong that
                      is standing in the way of achieving your goals? If your answer to any of
                      these  questions  is  no,  accept  that  you  will  never  live  up  to  your
                      potential. If, on the other hand, you are up for the challenge of becoming
                      radically open-minded, the first step in doing so is to look at yourself
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