Page 418 - Ray Dalio - Principles
P. 418

If not, what didn’t go as it should have? What broke? This is called the
                       proximate cause and this step should be easy to get to if you
                       laid  out  the  mental  map  clearly.  You  can  do  this  via  yes/no

                       questions as well because it should just require referring back
                       to  the  key  components  of  your  mental  map  and  pinpointing
                       which the RP or RPs didn’t do well.

                          Say  your  mental  map  of  how  the  machine  should  have
                       worked has two steps: that Harry should have either 1) done
                       his  assignment  on  time  or  2)  escalated  that  he  couldn’t.  All
                       you have to do is pinpoint the two steps. 1) Did he do it on

                       time? Yes or no. And if not, 2) did he escalate? Yes or no.

                          It should be this simple. But this is when the conversation
                       often  gets  dragged  into  gobbledygook,  where  someone  goes
                       into a detailed explanation of “what they did.” Remember: It’s
                       your  job  to  guide  the  conversation  toward  an  accurate  and
                       clear synthesis.

                          You  also  have  to  synthesize  whether  the  problem  was
                       meaningful—that  is,  whether  a  capable  person  would  have

                       made  the  same  mistake  given  the  circumstances,  or  whether
                       it’s symptomatic of something worth digging into. Don’t focus
                       too much on rare events or the trivial problems—nothing and
                       no one is perfect—but be sure you are not overlooking a clue
                       to  a  systemic  machine  problem.  It’s  your  job  to  make  that

                       determination.
                       Why  didn’t  things  go  as  they  should  have?  This  is  where  you  have

                       synthesized the root cause in order to determine whether the
                       RP is capable or not—or whether the issue is with the design.
                       In order to anchor back to a synthesis rather than get lost in the
                       details you might:

                           • Try to tie the failure to the 5-Step Process. Which step
                             was not done well? Everything ultimately fits into those

                             five steps. But you may need to get more specific, so:

                           • Try to crystallize the failure as a specific key attribute or
                             set of attributes. Ask yes/no questions: Did the RP not
                             manage well? Not perceive problems well? Not execute
                             well?
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