Page 24 - Facilities Master Plan 2016
P. 24

DEMOGRAPHIC OVERVIEW                                                                               INPUTS AND METHODOLOGY
                                                                                           Existing Enrollment
          The Lodi Unified School District serves students in grades Kindergarten through 12. As   2015/2016 student enrollment as provided by the District.
          of school year 2015/2016, the enrollment of the District was 28,531. The District’s (34)   Cohort Survival Factors
          elementary schools  served 15,749  students  in grades  Kindergarten  through  5,  4,385   The likelihood of a student progressing from one grade level to the
          students in grades 6 through 8 at the (13) middle schools and 8,397 students in grades 9   next.
          through 12 at the (9) high schools.   According to enrollment information from the California   Birth Rates
          Department of Education (CDE), the enrollment of the District has decreased by 1,217   Historic  and projected number of births  within the District, San
          students, or 4.1 percent since school year 2005/2006.                            Joaquin County, and historical averages are used to project incoming
                                                                                           kindergarten enrollment from existing residential units.
                                                                                           Residential Projection
                                                                                           Information on future residential projects was obtained from both the
                                                                                           City of Lodi and the City of Stockton.
                                                                                           Student Generation Factors
                                                                                           The average number of students generated by each house within  the
                                                                                           District, which are used to project enrollment from future residential
                                                                                           units.
          Historical Student Enrollment and Projection


                29,748  30,049  30,709  29,882  29,563  28,923  28,828  28,357  28,400  28,250  28,531  28,773  29,313  29,902  30,407  30,919  33,957
                                                                                                                                             10,202
         Student Enrollment  30,000  9,287  9,392  9,401  9,268  9,131  8,987  9,029  8,637  8,555  8,450  8,397  8,485  8,646  8,835  9,043  9,369  18,536
          35,000
          25,000
                                                                                                                                             5,218
                                 4,612
          20,000
                                                                                                                                     4,779
                                                                                                                              4,887
                                        4,569
                         4,635
                                                                                                                      4,849
                                                4,540
                 4,680
                                                                                                              4,538
                                                                                                      4,371
                                                                                               4,385
                                                                                       4,436
                                                        4,435
                                                                4,342
                                                                               4,360
                                                                       4,259
          15,000
          10,000  15,781  16,022  16,696  16,045  15,892  15,501  15,457  15,461  15,485  15,634  15,749  15,915  16,129  16,218  16,476  16,771
           5,000
             0
                05/06   06/07   07/08   08/09  09/10   10/11   11/12   12/13  13/14   14/15   15/16   16/17  17/18   18/19   19/20   20/21   25/26
                                                                           School Year
                                                                                                            Elementary School Enrollment (Grades K-6)
                                                                                                            Middle School Enrollment (Grades 7-8)
                                                                                                            High School Enrollment (Grades 9-12)
         2.4       PLANNING & CONSIDERATIONS                                                                                   Facilities Master Plan  24
                   DEMOGRAPHICS & CAPACITY ANALYSIS                                                                        Lodi Unified School District
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